Sitemap - 2025 - Overcoming Bias

What Is Liberal Futarchy?

A Governance Innovation Crisis

A Status Story of Modern Abstraction

Wealth, Reason Weaken Culture

My Big Ask

Prediction Markets Now

The Money Ick

Market Sabotage is Rare

The Rise And Fall of Abstraction

The Male Gender-War Advantage

US War Dept’s Big UFO Lie

Pay Pariah Cults?

Cultural Forces

News Error Markets

Civs Rot

No-Corner Futarchy

Our Precious

Public Opinion Is Culture

The Big Public Failures

If Punching Up is OK, So Is Punching Down

Neither Dominance nor Prestige: Rank

What Debts Make Decay?

You Are Not Your Values

Power Corrupts Prestige

Beware Moral Confidence

How Limit “Gambling”?

What Do Humans Want?

Beware Competent World Govt

Futarchy's Minor Flaw

Left Vs Right As Bickering Backseat Kids

This Too Shall Pass

Culture Is High Dimensional

If Anything Changes, All Value Dies?

Three Kinds of Contrarian

Skinner’s One Ring To Rule Culture

The Biggest Innovations Are Adaptive

More Random Than We Realize

Yay Adaptivist Activists

Big Institution Changes by 2075

My Hopes For Rationality

Is Modernism Due To Youth Culture?

Futarchy To Pick Ad Agency

Blame the Self-Seen Victim

Decide Now; We Won’t Know Much More Later Re UFOs

We Need Elites To Value Adaption

Pre-Sputnik Earth-Orbit Glints

The Joy Of Submission

A Curious Lack of Curiosity

Beware Boldly Going Together

Repudiation Markets

Poverty Insurance Audit Juries

Beware Macro Decay Modes

Beware Moral Confidence

Ngram Diversity Trends 1960+

Moral Compromise

Modern Culture Trends

Why Modern Sincerity

An Affirmation Puzzle

Morally Full Of Ourselves

High-Dimensional Foraging

3 Levels of Culture Fixes

Reason’s Overreach

Why Modernist Value Changes?

How Adaptive Modern Fiction?

Seeing like a STEM

Combos Cut Long-Shot Bias

Sexism Promoted Farmer Monogamy?

Decision Conditional Prices Reflect Causal Chances

Futarchy Liquidity Details

A Virtuous Governance Cycle

Dangers of Competent Governance

Intuitions Have Context

Stories Are Behavior, Explained

My Complaint Re Academia

Key Gadget: Pro-Equilibria Norms

Politics and Culture

Choice At Different Abstraction Levels

Advisory Futarchy

Details Avoid Bias

Sincerity Adds To Drift

Elite Confidence

Surprisingly Blind

Abstraction Worsens Drift

Culture-Guiding Futarchy

Can Humanity Choose Its Future?

Songs Regulate Emotion

Adaptive Status Markers

Status Marker Polls

Efficiency Is Sacred

AI Is GPT, & GPTs Go Slow

Should I Be Clearly Conservative?

Might Makes The Best Right

Why Not Inquire Together More?

Seek What Outcomes Via Futarchy?

Unleash Capitalism

Futarchy For Fundraising

Turn The Ship Or Leave on Lifeboats

Join We Meta-Adaptionists

What Do I Want?

What Things Really Feel?

Romantic Decay As Cultural Drift

Futarchy As Meta Governance

Philosophical Angst Is Culture Skepticism

Respect The Social Wild

Can Systems Stop Culture Drift?

Four Awakenings

Our Big Oops

Futarchy And Self-Dealing Governance

Futarchy and the Transfer Problem

Reenacting Trauma

When They Hear Less Than You Say

My Status Circles

UFO As Aliens Odds, Spending

Federal Futarchy

Celebrity v CEO v Politician

Gender Norms Are Complex, Opaque

Beware Shared Basic Value Changes

What Would Socrates Do?

Toward More Direct Signals

Fear Change

Feels Gone Wrong