Overcoming Bias
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Figure Stuff Out Together
We vary in our motives and priorities in thinking.
10 hrs ago
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Robin Hanson
23
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April 2026
On Prediction Market Regulation
(This is my comment re CFTC call for comments on prediction markets.)
Apr 29
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Robin Hanson
32
5
1
Where You Are Most Wrong
What are you the most wrong about?
Apr 27
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Robin Hanson
43
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Intellectual Populism Trend
Consider the accepted social ranking of who is how much of an intellectual.
Apr 26
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Robin Hanson
21
4
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My Best Idea: Decision Markets
Many (Poincaré 1908, Schumpeter 1911, Ogburn 1922) have said that, as there are so many good ideas out there, most innovation is just simple combos of…
Apr 25
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Robin Hanson
62
12
5
Why Focus On Mid-Level Goals?
Human action plans are often organized around goal hierarchies, with lower-level subgoals helping to achieve higher-level goals.
Apr 25
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Robin Hanson
27
11
2
My Class And Goals
I just went to my mom’s funeral, and so was reminded about my family, and of the question of what exactly one wants to do with one’s life.
Apr 22
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Robin Hanson
84
26
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Power Futarchy
A simple way to apply futarchy to for-profit firms is profit-futarchy: make markets that estimate total firm market value given key firm choices, like…
Apr 21
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Robin Hanson
16
5
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Remake or Replace Tribes
Tribes contain factions.
Apr 19
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Robin Hanson
32
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Cultural Network Structure
How did our society decide how much to count things like education and artistic taste when evaluating prestige and status?
Apr 19
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Robin Hanson
25
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Seeking Culture Epics
Most stories are small, about short periods in the lives of a few people or small groups.
Apr 14
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Robin Hanson
32
15
3
Why Ban Sports Bets?
Sports betting is in the news today, with the rise of Kalshi and Polymarket. Critics point to many issues, but I think most are excuses; what really…
Apr 13
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Robin Hanson
22
25
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