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Opacity Blocks Agreement
Years ago, I spent a big chunk of my intellectual career studying the rationality of disagreement, mostly via math modeling, but also some lab…
23 mins ago
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Robin Hanson
5
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Opacity Blocks Agreement
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Recalibrating Respect
When the US and USSR came out victorious at the end of WWII, the world recalibrated its respect. That is, many correctly inferred that this win…
Dec 2
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Robin Hanson
45
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Recalibrating Respect
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Evidence Order Bias
When I was a child, I spake as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child: but when I became a man, I put away childish things. (Bible) “83…
Dec 1
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Robin Hanson
42
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Evidence Order Bias
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November 2023
Frank’s Book Of Little Aliens
In his new book Little Book of Aliens, astrophysicist Adam Frank says that we now know almost nothing about aliens, but we will soon learn much more…
Nov 27
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Robin Hanson
18
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Frank’s Book Of Little Aliens
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After Eating It, Software Will Bite The World
Software is eating the world. … All of the technology required to transform industries through software finally works and can be widely delivered at…
Nov 25
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Robin Hanson
28
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After Eating It, Software Will Bite The World
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Choose: Cultural or Bayesian Morality
One of humanity’s key superpowers is our cultural plasticity: we change our species by each of us as kids copying the adults around us. We can…
Nov 25
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Robin Hanson
41
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Choose: Cultural or Bayesian Morality
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Honing Fertility Fall Theories
Richard Hanania has done me the honor of carefully thinking through my & other fertility theories, finding consequences and data tests I didn't think…
Nov 17
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Robin Hanson
23
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Honing Fertility Fall Theories
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Bow To Our Future Overlords
The political left and right each have a big long term problem about which they cry most. For the left it is global warming; for the right fertility…
Nov 15
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Robin Hanson
61
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Bow To Our Future Overlords
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108
Fertility Fall From Selection Neglect
In the novel Pot Luck by Zola, a middle class woman in 1862 explains why she had only one kid, Marie, & wants Marie to have only one kid: ‘Children, you…
Nov 10
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Robin Hanson
58
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Fertility Fall From Selection Neglect
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Ancient Fertility Quotes
This graph of European urban population over history shows some dramatic declines, suggesting that there may have been historical analogue to our…
Nov 6
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Robin Hanson
39
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Ancient Fertility Quotes
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Why Not Heterodox Research?
The following claim seems both roughly true and pregnant with implications: The vast majority of statements that appear in natural human conversation…
Nov 5
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Robin Hanson
34
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Why Not Heterodox Research?
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Making Sense of Girard
I attended a Girard-themed conference today, and in prep I recently read his classic Violence and the Sacred. He is a hard read for me, as he is often…
Nov 4
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Robin Hanson
32
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Making Sense of Girard
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