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Tim Tyler's avatar

Machine intelligence ought to be good at "collecting and aggregating info". Machines can act as participants in markets as well, of course, but let's not forget that we can upgrade the brains of our traders.

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Kenny Evitt's avatar

I would think you could persuade someone to donate/grant/give you specifically at least $1M.

Maybe one way to start would be to build a new organization (e.g. 'for-profit' firm or regular U.S. corporation) with basically no particular structure or purpose other than to test an (internal) prediction market. After typing that out, it still seems too vague, but my intuition is that somehow you'd want to avoid 'managers' with (reasonable) reasons to NOT want to be subject to the 'cruel' criticism of prediction markets.

I would think you'd also have some good candidate ideas for suitable organizations. Maybe an investment firm? Or something else that could be potentially organized around an internal prediction market from the beginning?

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