11 Comments
User's avatar
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Since people rarely admit to signaling, for such theories to be true, people must either be lying or unconscious of their behavior. A conscious example does not provide much evidence for unconscious explanations of other examples. They seem to me likely to be quite different. The unconscious mind seems to me unlikely to make the connection between reading for detail and safety, while it is more likely to understand social status.

In particular, many people are involved in school. If it were just a few, they could all be lying about their conscious understanding of it as a signaling game, but there are enough that I think very few could consciously view it that way. Thus I do not think this example lends much support for school as a rational signaling game.

But it does lend support to examples run by smaller groups.

Also, in the example, the employers understand the signaling nature of the exercise, but the employees do not. To compare to the school example, only the employers of graduates need to understand the game, while the students do not need to understand why they enroll in school. Still, I think the number of employers is too big for them to consciously understand it as a signaling game.

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

This sounds just like the issue with evolutionary psychology, doesn't it? I think the problem is that not every signaling explanation for a given behavior is correct. A signaling explanation--like any other kind--lives or dies on how probable is the motive it ascribes to the behavior, and whether or not the behavior is indeed a good way to fulfill the motive, relative to obvious alternatives. In short, whether it's the simplest explanation that fits the facts. The crux of it is that signaling explanations have the power to simply explain many otherwise-befuddling behaviors.

Like with evolutionary psychology, "hard" tests are hard to come by. (Which I think was the point of this post.) But I will say that since learning about signaling theories, I have caught myself in the act of trying to send surreptitious signals, part of what convinced me of their correctness.

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

he's accusing it of being non-falsifiable.

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Oops, this was meant as a reply to Max's comment directly above mine.

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I'm not sure I understand your position. Doesn't every field attempting to explain human behavior "cook up some explanation in terms of"... some constant? Economics: "it's about incentives!" Anthropology: "it's about culture!" Sociology: "it's about class!" A "Signaling Studies" professor would probably say "it's about looking good!"

It certainly makes sense to believe that some of these lenses have more explanatory power than others, and they're all just models and oversimplifications, but I'm just not sure why the fact that many different human behaviors make sense in terms of "trying to look good to others" counts against the theory of signaling.

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I am sceptical of signalling theories because it seems like they can explain too much: for almost any behaviour, you can cook up some explanation in terms of signalling. This says to me that these theories suffer from "model fitting" and have little *predictive* value.

What are the hard tests you can do to establish that signalling is the correct explanation for some observed behaviour, as opposed to alternative? Are there any general rules?

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Very cool illustration.

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I wonder what the Foo Fighters are signaling with their rider.http://www.thesmokinggun.co...

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Yes, this does nicely illustrate why people tend to give blank, unimpressed looks when told about signaling theories. There's rarely direct evidence and particular examples are hard to sell because one can never be sure of them. It's hard to get the message across that signaling theories explain so much behavior with so few assumptions.

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

But this is an example of apparent status signaling behavior actually being the demand that others provide a hard to fake signal of something other than status.

I'd call it a win for signaling models of human behavior but a loss for status signaling models.

Expand full comment