Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Great post, truly!

Expand full comment
Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I'm a full-blown moral skeptic, so perhaps not the right audience, but I still have some questions. Assuming that there is such a thing as moral error and intuitions that give evidence about "true morality", it doesn't necessarily seem such a good idea to rely exclusively on one. Analogize our differing intuitions within our heads to different individuals: more precisely, experts as depicted by Tetlock. These experts are unreliable but the best we have. We think all of them are prone to error and overconfident in themselves. Wouldn't trying to pick "the best" expect and listening exclusively to him/her be a mistake? How can we trust our own ability to determine which expert is best? Shouldn't "the wisdom of crowds" help the random errors associated with only listening to single expert? If I recall correctly, call a friend gives worse results than asking the audience in Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.

Much of humanity for much of its historyHas been illiberal. You already reject the moral authority of most of human history.

Expand full comment
21 more comments...

No posts