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David Gretzschel's avatar

For example, if the question is “Is there some complex technical solution to simple problem X”, it may not work well to exclude all complex technical solution proposals.This is contradictory. If a simple problem X could have a complex, technical solution, then it would not be a simple problem, after all.

And if you cannot thru simple reasoning come to the strong, internally consistent conclusion that a complex, technical solutions could not be applicable or superior, you should upgrade X to "complex and technical". You should rationally decide that you believe, that you do not understand X and therefore should not believe anything about it.

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averageradical's avatar

> we might just want to limit our exposure to the sources that we expect to be unusually subject to favorable selection biases

It seems to me the meta-danger of such an approach is that we might develop a selection bias toward sources.

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