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I suspect this could be a great app for Google+

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

You can use stickk.com as a proxy for such a market. You have options such as sending money to a friend if you do not keep to your commitment, and you need only have an agreement that your friend pays you if you do keep your commitment. Of course, this is no longer anonymous, but it seems pretty tricky to have an anonymous market on your behavior in any event.

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