Overcoming Bias

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Free Money, Going Fast

www.overcomingbias.com

Free Money, Going Fast

Robin Hanson
May 30, 2007
Share this post

Free Money, Going Fast

www.overcomingbias.com

At Marginal Revolution, Justin Wolfers suggests, and at Midas Oracle, Eric Zitzewitz suggests, that someone has been manipulating the Intrade markets to make Hillary look good – Intrade now gives Hillary a 77% chance of winning if she is nominated.   If that seems too high, trade accordingly.

Added: Koleman Strumpf says it is 65% now, other markets have similar estimates, and maybe it represents real info.

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Free Money, Going Fast

www.overcomingbias.com
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