7 Comments

Instead of pressing for settling on other planets to insure humanity's survival past earth, perhaps we should press for "child factories" so that advanced civilizations can advance beyond the point they have in the past, where in the past they were limited by their member's loss of interest in having babies.

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I wonder how much of it is risk aversion, the possibility of having a child that is retarded or severely handicapped or criminal is a frightening prospect many people.

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This is an interesting study, but the question I’m wondering is, why is this fertility problem happening now. We’ve been far richer than the Greeks or Romans for a couple centuries now, but this fertility trend is less than fifty years old. Why did it take so much more wealth to trigger it this time around?

I'd guess that the primary causes for us are a combination of the birth control pill and higher wages for women. Sex is far less likely to lead to pregnancy now. Higher wages for women means both that families lose more when a pregnant mother stops working and females are much less reliant on males as traditional providers.

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European fertility collapsed centuries ago because of the urbanization and industrialization. There was a bump in the early 20th century. Huge amounts of money was poured to families because nations suddenly needed more cannon fodder.

Before that families might have been large but few could afford to have a family in the first place.

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It might have been delayed by the increasing number of things we might want. We might be richer without feeling richer.

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Womens' and child rights? Access to birth control? Children are too financially and time expensive to be desirable? People wanting to extend their adolescence for as long as possible? Perhaps even living longer and healthier?

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This is an interesting study, but the question I'm wondering is, why is this fertility problem happening now. We've been far richer than the Greeks or Romans for a couple centuries now, but this fertility trend is less than fifty years old. Why did it take so much more wealth to trigger it this time around?

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