12 Comments
User's avatar
RobinHanson's avatar

Ours is a research project fielding new tech, so our costs are much larger than other need be.

BenGolden1's avatar

Are you able to share ballpark estimates for the cost of building and maintaining these sites?

RobinHanson's avatar

The lack of quality software isn't the reason that there isn't another Intrade.

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

So anybody can create another intrade with better software?

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I this some automated bot comment?

Charles R. Twardy's avatar

Robin: 2nd paragraph 2nd link "SciCast" needs an http: it is using a relative link.

Ari's avatar

Congrats and good luck!

And yeah I think it is important for people to have a lot of control over the system, and make it evolve over the years. Github and StackExchange are examples of successful crowdwork in action, which put emphasis on public reputation, feeling part of being in a community and openness.

p.s. The link is broken.

RobinHanson's avatar

The basic tech we are developing and field testing here is in the public domain, and is available to be used by other prediction markets with stronger incentives.

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

This looks pretty cool! But given that there's no money at stake, I wonder if it is anything like a test of the prediction market hypothesis. So I wonder why you in particular think it's valuable.

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Congratulations on the launch of this impressive endeavor!