6 Comments

Is there rigorous evidence for a "massive and documented placebo effect"? Here are two reports that contradict that conclusion:http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov...http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov...

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Hal, the book Follies and fallacies in medicine can be downloaded from this link. I've read maybe a third... it includes a great discussion of placebo effect. http://curezone.com/ig/m.as...

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Wow, a higher percentage than I would have guessed! And doctors, on average, make about $200,000 a year. Like certain lawyers and dozens of other professions, their careers are built on exploiting bias.

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CocaCola didn't reveal its formula for a very long time, yet people don't mind this non-transparency. More generally, are "secrets of the trade" to be considered biases?

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Hi, dloye, and welcome, I would love to see that book.

I run into this kind of thing a lot when I go to the doctor for mild ailments. They frequently prescribe an antibiotic even for things that I know are not helped by antibiotics! But I always get better anyway...

A couple of weeks ago I went in because I had a persistent cough. It had been hanging on for two weeks, really bad and keeping me awake at night. I kept waiting for it to go away but it didn't, so I finally went to the walk-in clinic. The doctor prescribed an antibiotic and said I should feel better in three days. Now, from what I understand there's really not any likelihood that bacteria are causing this kind of cough. But I took the antibiotic anyway and sure enough, I felt better in three days. Luckily, for me placebos work even though I don't believe in them... I think it's because I'm easy to convince!

But generally this kind of over-prescription of antibiotics is a big problem in the medical field and is seen as contributing to the development of antibiotic resistant bacteria which can cause really serious illnesses. I think it is a good example of the kind of thing Robin is talking about, these impure placebos.

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New to the discussion, and maybe missing the point. That said, the massive and documented placebo effect, and the games the medical industry and pharmacological industry play, using essentially the placebo effect may in fact be a great handle on the amount of "bias" in ourselves, or our culture. Belief systems become a background bias. But aren't I entirely naked against the randomness of an unpredictable universe without a belief system and the inherent bias it bring?

There's a great little book on the logical fallacies of medical practice if anyone is interested, it's available online... I can look it up.

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