18 Comments

As I think Sam Harris points out in "The Moral Landscape," it is tough to articulate a principle that aligns w/ all of our basic intuitions and is not vulnerable to counterexamples. E.g. 'maximize mean happiness' appears to imply:-that a universe containing one amazingly fulfilled person is better than a universe with a billion infinitesimally less fulfilled individuals -that a universe with a billion individuals living in perpetual agony is better than a universe with a single individual living in perpetual, slightly-worse agony -that the death of a mildly depressed hermit makes the world a better place

Expand full comment

I have always used technology the same way a mechanic uses his tools. I use technology to trade stocks and to run my business without having to work in some office somewhere. I use Skype to talk to Asian customers and suppliers without having to pay expensive phone bills. My laptop is my office. I can live and work anywhere. Of course technology is a tool. Do you think I could manage a portfolio from the beaches of South East Asia if the internet did not exist? Of course, I have to visit customers in my work, but this has always been the case.

In the near future, I will use various biotechnologies to eliminate aging and to do various other things to my mind and body so as to live the life I want without the BS limitations I see in so many others. Once again, the technology is my tool that allows me to do the things I want to do and to live the life I enjoy living.

Technology will always be a tool for me to use as I want.

Expand full comment

The Unabomber is just as sick and pathetic as Charles Manson. It is silly to waste time talking about him.

Expand full comment

The unibomber manifesto was the ranting and raving of a mentally sick and pathetic individual. He saw nothing of value whatsoever. Luddites are, by definition, pathetically sick and twisted individuals.

Expand full comment

> For example, the new techs that enabled farming seem to have reduced per-person wealth and prosperity; farming populations easily grew fast enough to keep with with the thousand year time to double farming wealth. Starting within a million years in the future, and continuing on for trillions of years, it seems clear that economic growth rates must become far lower than feasible population growth rates. And with a century or so from today, a new tech enabling rapid population growth, whole brain emulations, may drastically reduce per-person wealth.

In the same vein as parent, couldn't we say that the farming populations could have higher utility than the hunter-gatherers (even as wealth remains constant or declines) because they have more satisfying ways of spending it?

That is, we could imagine hunter-gatherers having lots of wealth but only a few products like sex or bows & arrows to spend it on, and thus are less happy/have less utility than the poor farmer who can save up and eventually buy the product of the sophisticated (equally poor) craftsmen & artists.

Perhaps the same food surplus but more effectively concentrated on specialists.

Expand full comment

Why couldn't the brains being emulated in "whole brain emulation" be designed in such a way as to want to serve other brains. So long as quantity supplied of brain slaves is higher than that of free brains, we don't get the future you envision.

Expand full comment

I don't really think it's accurate to separate humans and technology. The capability to create tools and then create even better tools with those tools is what defines us as a species. In a sense we are our technology.

Expand full comment

The streets will run red with blood before the people will put their brains in a jar so as to make things fair for all concerned. So, apocalypse is inevitable. However you could put other peoples brains in jars,but I'm not going there.

"And with a century or so from today, a new tech enabling rapid population growth, whole brain emulations, may drastically reduce per-person wealth"

Expand full comment

THANK YOU. I basically concluded a few years ago that econ has, at a first approximation, nothing more to teach me until it addresses this distinction.I'm glad to see someone else pointing that out.

Expand full comment

Technology would not be the problem for us that it is, if we could understand that our own capacity needs to be measured along a different economic continuum from that of technology enhanced production. As long as human capital is attached to production like a ball and chain, technology can only work against us instead of for us, and it will not be possible for people to truly be free. What technology provides and what people desire for their lives - given the chance, would follow different trajectories, if only people were confident enough to use technology for a tool, rather than as a crutch for isolated ends.

Expand full comment

Technology is much more than just some bag of tools at our disposal. It is self-propagating and often brings humans along with it. When a new technology is discovered, all other humans must adopt that technology, at the consequence of being dominated. A human does not necessarily chose to use the technology in the way a mechanic decides between a hammer and a mallet, but is coerced to use the new technology because of the social changes that come with it. In America today, manufacturers must rely on technology to increase production, or risk seeing business lost to foreign competitors. There simply is no option to ignore technological change.

Expand full comment

This is perhaps my greatest question about your ethical worldview. Why is it better to have more people, each less happy than we would be if we had fewer people? Why is maximizing net happiness so much more important than maximizing mean happiness? You've often discussed this, but each and every time you've basically said simply that the reasons for holding this point of view are so blindingly obvious that anybody who disagrees is not worthy of being a serious interlocutor.

Expand full comment

Here's Kevin on video, discussing his latest book.

Expand full comment

The unabomber saw a lot - he was ahead of his time.

Expand full comment

Allow me to link my own review of Kelly's book (really, just the title).

And point out that Luddites have a bad rap. Historically, Luddism was a movement of people whose interests were quite clearly being hurt by new technology and wanted to do something about it. Obviously, they were on the losing side of history but that doesn't mean they were irrational in their actions. And anybody who thinks honestly about the risks of technology ought to not dismiss them.

Expand full comment

I would like to hear Robin's take on whether there is a meaningful distinction between technologically induced gains to physical, material wealth and tech induced gains that increase other forms of wealth.

The former, such as agriculture or steam power, allow an increase in population that can cause population growth followed by an eventual reduction in per-capita wealth when population growth outstrips the growth in total wealth. The latter, such as the printing press (or Kindle, iPod?) may make people better off without causing an increase to population, and in the long run everyone may be better off. Both issues Robin identifies relate to the former, but neither seem to relate to the latter sort of tech (except to the extent that, eg, more people reading books increases the likelihood of an industrial revolution).

Is this distinction a reason to not be distressed and depressed by this post?

Expand full comment