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Mati Roy's avatar

I wonder if some people conflated:

How many "humans" do you think will ever exist?

with

How many "humans" do you think will have ever existed?

That would explain the 11-12 cluster as an anticipation of extinction.

Then the 12-13 has a longer human phase before evolving into another species that isn't human anymore.

And a third scenario where the civilisation stabilized towards valuing creating humans, and does so across the cosmos.

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Mati Roy's avatar

A specific number wouldn't do justice to my credence and frequency distribution.

Plus, my uncertainty isn't just an epistemic one, but also a moral one. For example, I'm not sure whether I would count a Mati em-clade as 1 person or more.

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