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Tim Tyler's avatar

Reviewing the items, I think I mostly agree with Robin. I have different views on uploads, but wouldn't but the chance of anyone becoming an upload after centuries as low as Cowen's 1%. Rather, my view is that uploads are likely to come last - and have correspondingly low economic impact. p(success) = one in ten thousand also seems over-confident for Cowen's cryonics prediction to me. Rah, the belief-value dichotomy!

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I have a practical question: Just $200 per year for Alcor? Even with term life insurance, an $80K (charge for head only) policy is over $500/year for someone with Robin's published stats; and that doesn't even protect against senescence like a more expensive whole life policy. Add Alcor's yearly dues of $600 or $1200, and that $200 figure starts to look an order of magnitude too low.

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