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RobinHanson's avatar

Not all influencers are seen as authorities. My analysis was of authorities, not everyone. Weather forecasters don't seem to have much competition for their role. If they did, being proven wrong so often, and changing their minds so often, would probably cut their authority.

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

How much does this model vary with respect to to changes in peoples innate preferences in how their opinions relate to the powerful/weak?

Also, I feel like this model does not well predict e.g. the influence of random youtubers or guys like Joe Rogan, or maybe QAnon.

Also, don't people mostly follow the official sources for things that are "far"?

Oh yeah, what about the weather? We do grumble about how often the weatherman is "wrong" but ultimately pay attention to them. Yes, the weatherman can make genuine mistakes and perhaps would take poorly to attacks on their authority. But they don't need to have fixed predictions in order to maintain their reputation.

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