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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I don't think you can get accuracy by just reversing this bias. Remember, the bias in favor of fiction could also influence behavior to more closely match fiction. This is why people sometimes think about what their favorite fictional hero would do as a guide for making decisions.

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Hero wins bias: people tend to overestimate their own chances of success. I would be SHOCKED if this didn't come at least SOMEWHAT from fiction.

Also its inverse: society sucks bias: a disproportionately negative view of the world due to (and I realize this is non-fiction!) over-reporting of bad news and under-reporting of good news. News media actually filter out good news because it gets less ratings.

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