18 Comments
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Robin Hanson's avatar

We finally arrived, later than I had guessed.

Marc Geddes's avatar

I'm recommending Robin Hanson for the 'transhumanist hall of fame', to receive prestigious awards and immortal status by post-human historians after the Singularity.

Post-human historians across the galaxy are no doubt poring over the archives of 'Overcoming Bias' 'right now' (in the appropriate relativistic reference frame) looking for clear evidence of insights. Who has impressed? ;)

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Should have said what is the probability given I do not know the current count. It was an incomplete sentence, my mistake.

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

What reality do you live in?!? ;)

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I think you mean with the iron claws of legacy property masquerading as the invisible hand of the market.

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I think you mean "with the invisible iron fist of the market."

... I can't decide if this is apt, really creepy, or both.

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

That’s more than there are people in my country. I assume the sixth million visitor will get a free copy of your first book?

I doubt it, but I hope I'm wrong.

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

And then rule with an iron fist guided by prediction markets!

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

That's more than there are people in my country.

I assume the sixth million visitor will get a free copy of your first book?

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Ah, but it is not *really* about the number of visitors

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

unless they visit again later, near zero.Current count: 5997343

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

What is the probability that one of the three commenters that I see above me is the lucky person?

Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Sounds like a lot of signaling to me. :)