Discussion about this post

User's avatar
ARaybold's avatar

My mistake - I thought the Bayesian view was agnostic as to where priors came from. In fact, I had in mind an example of yours -- from 'Are Disagreements Honest?' -- where John and Mary have different impressions of the make, color and age of a car fleetingly glimpsed. Would the actors' estimates of the probability, that the car was, say, more than three years old, on the basis of what they (thought they had) had seen, not be valid priors?

Expand full comment
RobinHanson's avatar

Priors don't come from experience.

Expand full comment
13 more comments...

No posts