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Progress Is Not Enough

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This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.
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Progress Is Not Enough

Robin Hanson
Jun 1, 2007
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Progress Is Not Enough

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Scott Aaronson on The Myth of the Ivory Tower:

I agree with Robin that academic science is often tradition-bound to the point of absurdity, and that its institutions ought to be as open to scrutiny and replacement as its theories. But I don’t go as far as he apparently does in the direction of the Myth of the Ivory Tower. For me, the interesting thing about science is not that it’s broken, but rather that it’s about the least broken enterprise in the whole sorry history of our species.

Arnold Kling on Heterodox Economics:

In my view, the reason that mainstream economics is so difficult to dislodge is the sheer inertia built into the system. In this post, I pointed out how the highly unequal distribution of quality of graduate students results in tight in-breeding. The result is a profession that is very slow to change.  Tyler Cowen’s view is that the best ideas win out, regardless. Maybe that’s true in the very long run. But I think that the process is too sluggish.

Academia may well be the best institution we have so far to produce innovation, and truth probably wins out in the end, at least for most academic topics.  But the mere fact of progress says little; neither of these facts tells us much about how inefficient academia is in an absolute sense, relative to some optimal way to organize innovation.  My guess is that future institutions for innovation will produce many orders of magnitude more rapid progress, given a comparable input of resources.  There will be much new to see on the road ahead; and my bet is that betting markets will be an important part of that new mix. 

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Progress Is Not Enough

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Overcoming Bias Commenter
May 15

That's laughable. In terms of innovation, we can't hold a candle to the period from the end of the civil war to WW1. Academia was no where to be found in terms of innovation at that time.

However academia has lots of cushy high-paid and high-status jobs to offer, fancy stone buildings to work out of, and a non-stop conveyor belt of self-congratulatory puffery to offer about how smart academics are and how foolish everyone else is. What's not to like for the beneficiaries of such a system?

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Overcoming Bias Commenter
May 15

Academia may well be the best institution we have so far to produce innovation

That's laughable. In terms of innovation, we can't hold a candle to the period from the end of the civil war to WW1. Academia was no where to be found in terms of innovation at that time.

Even today, it is where academia and the market intersect that innovation occurs. A place like Silicon Valley is innovative because of its university connections, but also because of its corporate and venture capital connections. I wouldn't give academia all, or even most, of the credit.

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