Overconfidence is a Social Signaling Bias:
Bock: Overconfidence in terms of accurately predicting the truth.
But what is the meaning of overconfidence if it increases odds of a positive social outcome? What is "over" about it? Sounds like the word confidence is more accurate.
Bock: Overconfidence in terms of accurately predicting the truth.
But what is the meaning of overconfidence if it increases odds of a positive social outcome? What is "over" about it? Sounds like the word confidence is more accurate.