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Let Brits Do US Med Eval

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Let Brits Do US Med Eval

Robin Hanson
Jun 2, 2011
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Let Brits Do US Med Eval

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Here is my entire 300 word NYT oped:

Medicare should stop paying for treatments that the British Medical Journal says probably don’t work.

Today, United States agencies that try to not pay for ineffective treatments face the wrath of Congress, egged on by the surgeons and drug companies whose revenue is threatened. So far, U.S. agencies have pretty much always backed down, and just paid for everything.

The United Kingdom, where, on average, people live longer than in the U.S., spends only about 9 percent of gross domestic product on medicine, compared with our 18 percent. The British control costs in part by having the will to empower a hard-nosed agency, the National Institute for Health and Clinical Experience (N.I.C.E.), to study treatments and declare some ineffective. Some hope the United States will create a similar agency, but I fear it would be hopelessly politicized and declawed.

My solution: admit we are cost-control wimps, and outsource our treatment evaluation to the U.K. Pass a simple law saying Medicare (and Medicaid) won’t cover treatments considered but not positively appraised by the Britain’s national health institute.

Even better, use clinical evidence evaluations of the British Medical Journal. They’ve classified more than 3,000 treatments as either unknown effectiveness (51 percent), beneficial (11 percent), likely to be beneficial (23 percent), trade-off between benefits and harms (7 percent), unlikely to be beneficial (5 percent) and likely to be ineffective or harmful (3 percent). Let’s at least stop paying for these last two categories of treatments! And to put pressure on doctors to collect evidence, let’s stop paying for “unknown effectiveness” treatments after 10 years of use.

Yes, eventually, this evaluation source would become corrupted, as were the asset risk rating agencies that contributed to the recent financial meltdown. But we’d at least have a few more years to come up with a better solution.

Interestingly, two of the nine other opeds on “What Medicare Services to Cut, Now” wanted more hospice care.

Added 4June: Will Wilkinson:

This reminds me of another proposal, similar in spirit, to de-nationalise the drug-approval process … [by] Daniel Klein …:

One idea is to recognize the drug approvals of, say, 15 other governments. That is, we reform the U.S. system so that if the drug-approval agency of even one of those 15 countries approves a drug for that country, then the drug is automatically approved in the United States.

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Let Brits Do US Med Eval

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Trish Reynolds
May 15

At least they wouldn't be for profit insurance company death panels.

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tfowler
May 15

Administrative costs don't go away just because its government employees doing the administration. In fact in the US that work is often contracted out anyway. The percentage may be less for government programs in the US because the average person on Medicaid relieves more medical care than the average person on private insurance. If the medical care costs more but the administrative cost doesn't go up as much the percentage goes down.

Another reason government programs can have lower administrative costs is if they make less effort to catch fraud (although that could be considered an example of beneficial administrative costs, its not like its all waste or useless activity)Also a lot of the government's cost doesn't necessarily get counted as overhead or administrative cost. Insurance companies' advertising,premium collection and processing, etc. count as administrative costs. With the government the cost to collect taxes (and the cost to comply with them) doesn't get counted as administrative overhead. I don't think government promotion, information campaigns, and such get counted either. I think a lot of the comparisons of administrative costs are apples to oranges comparisons.Which doesn't mean that government administrative costs or more, or even that they are not lower. Economies of scale do help (although the larger American insurance companies are bigger than many national systems so they should benefit from it as well).

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