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This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.
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Open Thread
Dear Robin
I was wondering if you think the economy is more about creating social differentiation or social cohesion, or distributing resources? Am I setting up a false dichotomy here?
I see all my attempts to shock folks out of the Bayesian dogma have failed. Unfortunately, never again will you folks have the benefits of such blunt speaking, since I am actually learning some social skills Indeed, it will soon be unlikely that I will ever be making unsolicited comments on other people's blogs again.
This is likely to be my final plea. Transhuman glory (Singularity) is still within reach, but is rapidly slipping away now. The old-guard of transhumanism is aging (I believe professor Hanson recently turned 50, Bostrom is in his 40s, Yudkowsky is in his 30s), the window of opportunely is closing down fast. The position is still recoverable now, but ony just I think. In another 5-10 years we will be a non-recoverable position (too late to correct for major mistakes or over-sights) and the lives of this generation will be lost.
Listen to me very very carefully. The post 'The prior of a hypothesis does not depend on its complexity' that appeared on LW is wrong. Dead wrong. Absolutely and utterly wrong. All attention and intellectual firepower needs to directed at complexity measures and priors. I repeat: throw everything you've got at researching complexity measures and priors!
Last call!