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This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.
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Open Thread
Nick, what you're doing feels strongly like cheating, but I can't quite put my finger on how. If you're allowing a 15/16 probability that self-sampling *isn't even applied*, why not do the same thing in many-worlds?
Nick, I'll put my further replies to this on my anonymous blog, so as not to overrun overcomingbias with it.