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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

"3. Machine intelligence is improving at an exponential rate."

That's not a meaningful statement. The S&P 500 has been growing exponentially for more than 100 years. But it's been less than 10% per year.

In order to have a meaningful assessment, it's necessary to say what the doubling time is, and how far behind machine intelligence is.

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Peter David Jones's avatar

I would like to live in a world where homo economicus is extinct. But I keep seeing evidence to the contrary.

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