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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Insiders were paying attention to software development progress and deliveries to customers (we had about a handful of beta customers in the last year, before Xanadu was shut down when Autodesk reorganized.) None of the active participants had much view into events at the parent company. (I was an employee, even though my name doesn't appear under the link to employees and consultants.)

Another lesson is that it's crucial to have multiple points of view. All the participants in that particular market were software developers.

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Robin Hanson's avatar

Hal, this market was not anonymous, which may indeed have been a mistake.

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