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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Robin, looking for counter-examples is a useful technique for understanding and judging claims that are not backed by formal arguments, which I admitted are not available. You don't have to prove to my satisfaction any counter-examples you might find. Feel free to state them informally, or just use them to privately update your own beliefs. And as far as I can tell, the claims under discussion are already stated in simple language that doesn't require any specific focus to understand.

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Robin Hanson's avatar

Wei, your area is not my focus, so I'm not going to take the time to prove a counter-example, or even to figure out what you mean precisely enough to know what to you would count as a count-example. It is up to the proponents of such claims to offer arguments in their favor.

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