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Stephen Diamond's avatar

This bet depends utterly on mutual good faith: you each believe the other will apply the agreed upon criteria honestly. This degree of trust would not be shared by people occupying different ideological camps on fundamental questions.

What is the main signaling function of announcing this bet? Hanson and Fox vouch for each other as the kind of honorable person the other can rely on.

Per discussion on Katja's site, I think this kind of signaling is generally conscious rather than subconscious. I'd be interested in opinions.

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RobinHanson's avatar

I just added to the post.

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