Scott Adams of Dilbert fame has commissioned a survey of professional economists*and described it here^. What do you think of this idea? How should the survey be run?
Daunting? Well here is a lighter suggestion. Tyler recently posted a list of underrated Sci-Fi flicks. How about critiquing and adding your own selections?
I'm also pulling for at least three "p=__" statements are made throughout the conversation.
How does Hayek's "The Sensory Order: An Inquiry into the Foundations of Theoretical Psychology" fit in with the OvercomingBias project?
From a post of Steve Horwitz: "Another really cool piece of evidence for the basic framework of The Sensory Order is an optical illusion known as the "Charlie Chaplin Mask." Again, the mind "fills in" what is supposed to be there based on its past experience, even though we rationally know that's not what's there. It's "the mind's best guess" in action. You really have to force your mind to see what IS there not what it's making you THINK is there."
For a moment I thought there was an error in the blog software, but instead it appears that there really are two Andy Woods here. How about that. From now on I will be Andy the Programmer.
I would like to see a debate on the concept of common knowledge. Aumman's conclusion about rational disagreement, which is so readily accepted here, appears to me to be a case of one man's modus ponens is another man's modus tollens. Put me on the mt side.
Why aren't we working directly on terraforming Mars or wormhole transportation devices? Why do people insist on working on such mundane things? Electric vehicles are a dead end, and no matter how much we scale them up, will not get us across the universe.
I would like you to discuss uncertainty in daily reasoning. Nassim Nicolas Taleb says we should focus on the consequences of events, rather than their probability, since the probability is unknown (usually, in practice), but the consequences are easily predicted.
For example, I don't know the probability of an earthquake happening in San Fransisco, but if I live there, I can pick a house less likely to bury me when it happens.
Scott Adams of Dilbert fame has commissioned a survey of professional economists*and described it here^. What do you think of this idea? How should the survey be run?
*http://econlog.econlib.org/...^http://www.dilbert.com/blog...
Daunting? Well here is a lighter suggestion. Tyler recently posted a list of underrated Sci-Fi flicks. How about critiquing and adding your own selections?
I'm also pulling for at least three "p=__" statements are made throughout the conversation.
I mean several bloggingheads episodes. How bout a weekly episode?
If you think they're decent topics for discussion maybe you could do several.
The variety of suggestions here and at the parallel thread at Marginal Revolution is daunting.
How bout religion (not necessarily the existence of God)?
More generally, I'd like Robin to press Tyler on whatever issues they discuss.
How does Hayek's "The Sensory Order: An Inquiry into the Foundations of Theoretical Psychology" fit in with the OvercomingBias project?
From a post of Steve Horwitz: "Another really cool piece of evidence for the basic framework of The Sensory Order is an optical illusion known as the "Charlie Chaplin Mask." Again, the mind "fills in" what is supposed to be there based on its past experience, even though we rationally know that's not what's there. It's "the mind's best guess" in action. You really have to force your mind to see what IS there not what it's making you THINK is there."
For a moment I thought there was an error in the blog software, but instead it appears that there really are two Andy Woods here. How about that. From now on I will be Andy the Programmer.
(formerly Andy Wood)
I would like to see a debate on the concept of common knowledge. Aumman's conclusion about rational disagreement, which is so readily accepted here, appears to me to be a case of one man's modus ponens is another man's modus tollens. Put me on the mt side.
To what extent does becoming deeply immersed in a different culture overcome/exaggerate biases?
how about your 14 wild ideas,5 of which are true
Why aren't we working directly on terraforming Mars or wormhole transportation devices? Why do people insist on working on such mundane things? Electric vehicles are a dead end, and no matter how much we scale them up, will not get us across the universe.
Why does Tyler expect a more normal future than you?
I second Larry Roth's request.
Whether Roissy is evil
I would like you to discuss uncertainty in daily reasoning. Nassim Nicolas Taleb says we should focus on the consequences of events, rather than their probability, since the probability is unknown (usually, in practice), but the consequences are easily predicted.
For example, I don't know the probability of an earthquake happening in San Fransisco, but if I live there, I can pick a house less likely to bury me when it happens.