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Jeff Cliff's avatar

One thing that struck me about the lecture was the similarity to the model of enjoyment and experience of music from David Huron in his Sweet Anticipation, though his was a 5, rather than a 2 stage (bayesian) anticipation model. Similarly, it seems some disagreements (up to and including those on large ethical and political questions) end up being (especially when insufficient thought is drawn upon them) matters of which comes first, A or B (the greed of employers/the greed of employees, say) - and that this suggests that the decisions and beliefs made are or can be 'realistic' or 'delusional' on a particular time scale, but not on others(ie an inability to look at the markets long enough to see them work, or an inability to look at collective bargaining long enough to see it work, say). Putting the two together: There may be higher order delusions that we cycle between even than statism or anti-statism, that this same model should be able to say something about, extended just one more set of terms, under similar reasoning(the exception being that the time frame is larger).

(tl; dr lecture generalized up to large numbers of people but not as much along the time axis, only mention of time is that beliefs can persist)

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

What does this have to do with whistle-blowers? Isn't that situation explicitly framed as a conflict of interests? Often principal-agent-subagent interests?

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