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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

James, I don't think the doubles approach changes your strategy for no limit hold'em. You know what the computer in the other room has - so you know if you're holding a pair of aces, your human colleague will likely lose that hand. And you know you're likely to win. But that isn't any more knowledge than you'd have if you didn't have a double. The only communication between the games happens at the end, when the chip totals are combined.

Speaking of "tells" and bias - are there any studies showing that poker players really can perceive and act on tells? I mean physical tells like how soon the bet is placed, how forcefully the chips are set down, etc. Or, do strong players beat weak players by pure strategy but chalk up some of their success to finding the tells? It seems to me that it would be easy to fall victim to confirmation bias here - when you won the hand you think you zeroed in on the guy's tell, but when you guessed the tell wrong it was because you had a weak hand, etc.

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Robin Hanson's avatar

All, "avoid" is not "eliminate."

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