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Bias Against the Unseen

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This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.
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Bias Against the Unseen

James Miller
Jul 28, 2008
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Bias Against the Unseen

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Economist John Lott on why many doctors oppose guns:

Doctors see the bad things that happen and it motivates them to do what they think is good. Take away the guns and those bad things won’t happen. However, what the doctors don’t see is the acts by guns that keep others from showing up in their emergency rooms. They are well motivated, but seeing only part of the picture causes them to misdiagnose the cure.

Bias against fully considering unseen consequences influences many public policy positions and, I suspect, explains why many intellectuals support the minimum wage, rent control and strong FDA regulations.  These anti-market intellectuals don’t, I believe, give proper weight to the jobs that were never created because of minimum wage laws, the buildings that were never constructed because of rent control, and the pharmaceutical products that were never developed because of the great expense of complying with FDA regulations.

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Bias Against the Unseen

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Overcoming Bias Commenter
May 15

The point made in this post probably has merit. However, John Lott's intellectual misconduct over the years should have long ago gotten him banned from particpating in intellectual discourse. He makes the pie smaller, not bigger.

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Overcoming Bias Commenter
May 15

I happen to be reading "Priceless: On Knowing the Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing", which takes a critical look at cost-benefit analysis and how a dollar value is assigned to intangible risks and rewards. It's easy to ask the questions. This blog post didn't do much on the constructive side.

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