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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Curt: "increasing degree of belief in any possible world is equivalent in effect to intensifying utilities in that same world by the same factor."

If it were the case that the mind had a big look-up table, specifying for each possible world our degree of belief in that world, then this transformation may not seem to add complexity and would preserve behavioural output. But that is not the way the mind works. My concern is that given the representational framwork we actually use, the operation of off-setting biases by modifying preferences may in fact increase complexity.

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Robin Hanson's avatar

Gustavo, yes confidence signaling is one possibility for men.

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