I recently appeared on the TV show William Shatner’s Weird or What?, episode on Premonitions. Unusual for me, this time I played the straight man, against astrologer Dr.
On the earthquakes, you can check the incidence of them here: http://www.iris.edu/hq/ Over the past 30 days, it looks like there have been three 6+ magnitude quakes in the past 3 or so weeks, so statistically he's probably quite likely to strike gold with that 'specific prediction'. Were he to be _actually_ specific, he would have to give a location, a date and an actual magnitude (with error bars, which we could permit him).
"it is his job to set up careful evaluations of his abilities, if he wants us to believe them."
Surely he gets more people to believe in his "abilities" by doing no such thing.
Silly TV show. Guy needs to produce 2 different predictions, and a blind judge has to say which was true of 2 different weeks.
So... after the fact, do you now believe that your appearance on that show: (a) benefited the public, (b) benefited you, (c) both, or (d) neither?
There are over 130 6.0+ earthquakes per year.
This dude is hilarious.
On the earthquakes, you can check the incidence of them here: http://www.iris.edu/hq/ Over the past 30 days, it looks like there have been three 6+ magnitude quakes in the past 3 or so weeks, so statistically he's probably quite likely to strike gold with that 'specific prediction'. Were he to be _actually_ specific, he would have to give a location, a date and an actual magnitude (with error bars, which we could permit him).