Overcoming Bias

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A Bet I’d Have Lost

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A Bet I’d Have Lost

Robin Hanson
Feb 9, 2016
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A Bet I’d Have Lost

www.overcomingbias.com

Three and a half years ago I made my largest personal donation ever to the Brain Preservation Foundation, to help fund their Brain Preservation Prizes. Just now they’ve announced that 21st Century Medicine has won their $26,735 Small Mammal Brain Preservation Prize, using a more cryonics-based approach. The other main competitor, Mikula, used the “plastination” approach I favored back then:

I offer to bet up to $5K that plastination is more likely to win this full prize than cryonics. (more)

Good thing for me no one accepted my offer; now it looks more like I’d have lost it. Next we’ll see who wins the Large Mammal Brain Preservation Prize, and when.

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A Bet I’d Have Lost

www.overcomingbias.com
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