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Wei Dai's avatar

Can you explain why AI researcher-years isn't the right measure? If it will take at most 4 centuries for a relatively small number of biological humans to create AGI, how could it take thousands of subjective years when it's possible to make many copies of the best, most productive AI researchers? Plus, wouldn't the availability of brain emulations to study help speed up AI progress?

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RobinHanson's avatar

While I don't agree AI researcher-years is the relevant measure, I still agree if that AGI "soon" after ems if "soon" means a year or two of objective clock time. But that can be thousands of subjective years to typical ems. So whole civilizations can come and go in that time - LOTS can happen with ems before AGI.

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