Open ThreadRobin HansonSep 01, 201318ShareThis is our monthly place to discuss relevant topics that have not appeared in recent posts.
I have reversed on the "unlikely vs. says nothing useful" bit.
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Vinge seems right that we can't predict what exactly a singularity would be like, but I agree with Will Sawin that it would pose a danger to humankind.
I would agree it does leave a big gap.
More broadly though, the question is whether considering changes this large ever leads to anything productive.
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I think the best criticism of the singularity idea is not that it's unlikely but that nothing useful can be said about it.