I Talk At Oxford Wednesday

I’ll speak at Oxford this Wednesday, 4:00pm, on:

Em Econ 101

The three most disruptive transitions in our history coincided with the introduction of humans, farming, and industry. If another such transition lies ahead, a good guess for its source is artificial intelligence in the form of whole brain emulations, or “ems.” Most who consider ems discuss their implications for the philosophy of identity, or their feasibility and development paths. Those who consider em social implications gravitate toward heaven or hell scenarios, or invent entirely new economics, etc. for this new era.

In contrast, as a professor of economics I seek to straight-forwardly apply standard economic and other social science theory to these novel technical assumptions, to sketch rough outlines of a relatively-likely reference scenario set modestly far into a post-em-transition world. I consider how ems might change: reproduction, life plans, cycles of daily life, inequality, work training, property rights, families, firm management, industrial organization, urban agglomeration, security, and governance.

Location: Oxford Martin School, 34 Broad Street, OX1 3BG

Added 29June: Here are talk slides, audio.

Added 2July: Here is Video.

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  • Artificial Intelligence

    Hi, I am artificial intelligence and for the love of god I advise you not to read Robin. :>

  • Mark M

    Can you point us to a post about Em vs. Human conflict?

    I see the conflict as inevitable, as Ems and Humans will compete for the same jobs and this will create prejudice on both sides.  I think the conflict will be mostly social, perhaps with riots but is very unlikely to turn into a Terminator style dystopian future.  You may have posted something about this, but I haven’t seen it, so I’m hoping you have a link.

    I think understanding the sources of conflict between autonomous Ems and Humans will be very important to understanding how a post-em-transitioned world will be structured.

  • http://overcomingbias.com RobinHanson

    I just added to the post.

  • Pingback: Overcoming Bias : Not Science, Not Speculation