Author Archives: David J. Balan

Art, Trust, and Betrayal

Say a band puts out a debut album which is deemed by critics to have a great deal of artistic merit, and which a small number of hard-core fans love.  For their second album, the band puts out some crap that appeals to the lowest common denominator and makes a ton of money, but which retains its artistic pretensions (the latter point is important; the argument below doesn’t work if the band isn’t pretending that the second album is art too).  Fans of the first album accuse the band of "going commercial" or "selling out."  In effect, they claim (and at least affect to believe) that they are not merely disappointed that they didn’t get their preferred album, but rather that the band has done something that is in some meaningful sense a betrayal.  Does this position have any merit, or is it just sour grapes from a bunch of snobs whose preferences lost out in the marketplace fair and square?

I want to offer an argument that the original fans are (or at least can be) right to feel betrayed.  Most people regard art to be an important part of their lives.  But artistic products are, by their nature, things that you can’t fully appreciate until you consume them.  Moreover, they aren’t even "experience goods" in the traditional sense that once you’ve experienced them you know everything there is to know about them.  Rather, art exercises its influence over you subtly and gradually, and in ways that you cannot fully predict or control.  This means that you are, to some extent, at the mercy of artistic gatekeepers: it is inevitable that the people who feed you art, who tell you what is and what is not "good," have real power over an important part of your life, and that power is partially unaccountable in the sense that you will not necessarily ever know whether your gatekeepers have been acting as a faithful agent in your interest (i.e., acting to help you achieve the richest possible artistic experience), or whether they are taking advantage of you for personal gain.  This means that you must trust other people to look after this aspect of your well-being, with the knowledge that they may have interests that diverge from yours.  And where there is trust, there can be a betrayal of trust.  And as a practical matter, it makes sense to direct your opprobrium at anyone you actually catch violating that trust, in the hopes that this will serve to deter some of those would-be betrayers whom you would not have caught.  And by the way, pretty much the same argument goes for teachers.

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as:

Does Healthcare Do Any Good At All?

The RAND experiment showed that people with more generous health insurance consumed a lot more health care than those with less generous insurance, but didn’t have much (or maybe anything) in the way of better health outcomes.  The natural interpretation of this is that everyone, including those with less generous insurance, chooses to get all of the high-value treatments, and that the extra treatments consumed only by those with more generous insurance aren’t worth much.*  If this was true, then Robin’s suggestion to radically cut health care would follow directly; it would be the low-value marginal treatments that would get cut while the high-value infra-marginal treatments would remain.  This would also be consistent with the evidence that it is damaging to one’s health to have no insurance at all (everyone in the RAND experiment had insurance of some kind), as people with no insurance would be missing out on (at least some of) the high-value infra-marginal treatments along with the low-value marginal ones.

The problem is that some of the other evidence from the RAND study is not really consistent with this story.  It seems that the marginal care consumed only by people with more generous insurance is not just low-value stuff.  The marginal treatments consumed only by those with more generous insurance, in the opinion of expert doctors, looks a lot like the infra-marginal treatments consumed by everybody.  But if that’s true, doesn’t it have to mean that all health care is of little value?  If the marginal care looks just like the infra-marginal care, and the marginal care is of little value, then doesn’t the infra-marginal care have to be of little value too?  I don’t think anybody seriously believes that, which makes me think that there is something wrong with the studies that say that the marginal care is just like the infra-marginal care.  Does anyone have any other ideas?

Continue reading "Does Healthcare Do Any Good At All?" »

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as:

Treat Me Like a Statistic but Please Be Nice to Me

Most patients would be horrified if their doctor said that s/he planned to treat them like a statistic.  This might be due to a wish on the part of the patient to believe that there is something specific about them that makes them less sick than the best statistical evidence would suggest they are.  If this is the reason, then the doctor is in a real pickle; s/he must try to give the best possible advice to someone who fundamentally doesn’t want to hear it.  But the horror might just come from a fear that a doctor who regards them as a statistic denies their basic humanity, which is something that people don’t like even if it has no effect on their health.  Of course this need not be the case; it is perfectly possible for a doctor to base treatment recommendations almost entirely on statistical information and at the same time to have the utmost respect for the patient’s irreducible dignity and individuality.  It would help a lot if doctors were better at conveying this distinction, and making people feel like they are individually valued even when the medical advice comes straight from the cookie-cutter.  Furthermore, patients might not always be wrong in thinking that a doctor who wants to treat them like a statistic really does devalue their  humanity; doctors who are sophisticated enough to understand evidence-based medicine need to be on guard against the temptation to use it as an shield behind which to hide any contempt for their patients that they might happen to have.  The imperative that medical advice should be based on sound statistical evidence doesn’t make basic niceness any less important.  Heads should be hard, hearts should be soft.

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as: ,

Bias As Objectification II

The other day I wrote a post in which I suggested that being caught out as insincere is unpleasant not only for the material consequences that might follow from it, such as damage to your reputation which will cause others not to want to enter into relationships with you; but also because it causes you to be objectified in the eyes of others.  Commenter TGGP replied:

"How might we distinguish between the hypotheses that people are concerned with reputation or objectification?"

Continue reading "Bias As Objectification II" »

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as:

Bias as Objectification

One reason to avoid insincerity is fear of being caught out.  But why is it bad to be caught out?  If you say something and it is later revealed that you said it only to gain some advantage, why would you care?  The obvious answer is that being known to be insincere will reduce your ability to enter into beneficial relationships with others in the future.  But clearly some people find being caught out to be very unpleasant in itself, beyond the reputational effect.  The reason, I think, is that being caught out is in some sense dehumanizing.  A guy who is caught out spinning cheesy pickup lines in a bar ceases to be regarded as an individual human being and just gets put in a box labeled "slimy bar guy," and it is humiliating to be thought of as someone whose essence can be captured with one uncomplimentary three-word label.

I think something similar lies behind the psychological impulse that some people have to overcome bias, and I certainly think this is so for me.  Somehow the idea that my beliefs or claims or arguments can be airily dismissed as the product of this or that self-interested bias damages my self-image far more than does simply being shown to be wrong.  I’m willing to go to pretty long lengths so that people can’t dismiss me in this way (or at least can’t do so in a way that I find substantive enough to be upsetting), and the best way to do this is to actually be as free of bias as possible.  Hopefully I’ve now reached the point that I seek OB as a virtue in its own right as well, but this is a big part of my motivation today and was a huge part of it in my formative years.

Does anyone else feel like this was also their motivation for seeking to OB?  Can anyone see any way in which this motivation introduces a bias into the project of OB?  I can’t think of any, except maybe that it tends to make you excessively worried about biases that other people are likely to pick up on and less worried than you should be about other ones.  Are there more?

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as:

Overcoming Bias: Hobby, Virtue, or Moral Obligation?

I can think of three reasons why somebody should try to get better at overcoming bias:

1. OB is a hobby: It should be pursued by people who enjoy it and/or who think it will pay off somehow.

2. OB is a virtue: It is part of a well-lived life (for a bit of this, see the preface to Facing Up by the physicist Steven Weinberg).

3. OB is a moral obligation: You should do it because it will cause you to do more good and less evil.

Continue reading "Overcoming Bias: Hobby, Virtue, or Moral Obligation?" »

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as: ,

They’re Telling You They’re Lying!

Robert Aumann, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics for his contributions to game theory, is vocally opposed to peace gestures that Israel either has made or that people have suggested it should make.  His basic message can be summarized in the following passage:

Continue reading "They’re Telling You They’re Lying!" »

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as: , ,

The Perils of Being “Clearer than Truth”

In his new book (see here for a post about it by Robin Hanson), Bryan Caplan argues that economists weaken the impact of what they say by  surrounding their main messages with a bunch of caveats that are intended to make their answers more complete but that in fact serve only to ensure that they will be ignored.

Continue reading "The Perils of Being “Clearer than Truth”" »

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as:

You Felt *Sorry* for Her?

There’s a quite powerful scene in To Kill a Mockingbird where Tom Robinson, a black man on trial for raping a poor, low-status white woman, is being cross-examined by the prosecutor.  Tom admits that he was in the woman’s house, but says that he was only there to help her take care of some chores that she was having a hard time handling on her own.  Here is the dialogue:

‘You did all this chopping and work from sheer goodness, boy?’
‘Tried to help her, I says.’
Mr Gilmer smiled grimly at the jury.  ‘You’re a mighty good fellow, it seems–did all this for not one penny?’
‘Yes suh.  I felt right sorry for her, she seemed to try more’n the rest of ‘em–’
You felt sorry for her, you felt sorry for her?’ Mr Gilmer seemed ready to rise to the ceiling.
The witness realized his mistake and shifted uncomfortably in the chair.  But the damage was done.  Below us, nobody liked Tom Robinson’s answer.  Mr Gilmer paused a long time to let it sink in.

Continue reading "You Felt *Sorry* for Her?" »

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as:

I Had the Same Idea as David Brin! (Sort Of)

A few days ago I wrote a post about how a much more defensible position regarding religion can be disadvantaged in debate against a much less defensible one because the defensible position is a complicated and partial truth while the indefensible one is a simple and snappy falsehood.  David Brin has a similar idea on a different topic.

Oh, there is something you are now hearing over and over. The BIG ROVEAN TACTIC is this. Demand that their opponents choose a simple, one sentence strategy for Iraq.

"Well? What would YOU do?"

It is horrendous and a "Have you stopped beating your wife?" question. Because No one-sentence answer will sound mature or sage, given the horrific political, social, military, and moral quagmire that we are inheriting. Moreover, any attempt to avoid giving a one sentence answer sounds equivocating and mealy-mouthed.

GD Star Rating
loading...
Tagged as: