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	<title>Comments on: Pretty Pols Win</title>
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	<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html</link>
	<description>Overcoming Bias is economist Robin Hanson’s blog, on honesty, signaling, disagreement, forecasting, and the far future.</description>
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		<title>By: Phil Goetz</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435730</link>
		<dc:creator>Phil Goetz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 00:50:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435730</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t believe this study.  The correlation with beauty is too small to be believable.  1.5-2% per standard deviation of beauty?  That&#039;s &lt;em&gt;nothing&lt;/em&gt;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t believe this study.  The correlation with beauty is too small to be believable.  1.5-2% per standard deviation of beauty?  That&#8217;s <em>nothing</em>.</p>
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		<title>By: Phil Goetz</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435729</link>
		<dc:creator>Phil Goetz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 00:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435729</guid>
		<description>Rather, this could be explained by there &lt;em&gt;being&lt;/em&gt; a positive correlation between beauty and other, not-necessarily-hidden characteristics of a candidate.

I assume the study didn&#039;t control for virtues of the candidates, such as intelligence, health, and optimism.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rather, this could be explained by there <em>being</em> a positive correlation between beauty and other, not-necessarily-hidden characteristics of a candidate.</p>
<p>I assume the study didn&#8217;t control for virtues of the candidates, such as intelligence, health, and optimism.</p>
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		<title>By: Discriminação contra os feios &#171; phCastro</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435709</link>
		<dc:creator>Discriminação contra os feios &#171; phCastro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 13:08:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435709</guid>
		<description>[...] Discriminação contra os&#160;feios By phcastro  E aí: Os feios devem ser beneficiados com políticas afirmativas? [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Discriminação contra os&nbsp;feios By phcastro  E aí: Os feios devem ser beneficiados com políticas afirmativas? [...]</p>
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		<title>By: anon</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435672</link>
		<dc:creator>anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 16:48:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435672</guid>
		<description>Two words: &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halo_effect&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Halo effect&lt;/a&gt;.  Move along, nothing to see here.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Two words: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halo_effect" rel="nofollow">Halo effect</a>.  Move along, nothing to see here.</p>
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		<title>By: Scott Sumner</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435666</link>
		<dc:creator>Scott Sumner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 13:48:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435666</guid>
		<description>Following up on James and TGGP.  I recall that there is a positive correlation between almost all &quot;positive&quot; human characteristics (beauty, personality, intelligence, athleticism, etc.)  Isn&#039;t there a huge omitted variable problem?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Following up on James and TGGP.  I recall that there is a positive correlation between almost all &#8220;positive&#8221; human characteristics (beauty, personality, intelligence, athleticism, etc.)  Isn&#8217;t there a huge omitted variable problem?</p>
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		<title>By: John Maxwell IV</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435653</link>
		<dc:creator>John Maxwell IV</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 07:50:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435653</guid>
		<description>No, clearly what&#039;s going on is that beautiful people are more genetically fit, and therefore more intelligent, and voters are just trying to elect the smartest candidate!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No, clearly what&#8217;s going on is that beautiful people are more genetically fit, and therefore more intelligent, and voters are just trying to elect the smartest candidate!</p>
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		<title>By: Sean</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435651</link>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 04:55:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435651</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;In cave man times humans might have evolved an ability to judge to quality of a leader in part through observations of the leader’s appearance.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

That&#039;s not suprising, since &#039;beautiful&#039; people tend to carry better genetics with the superior derived health and hormones; and people who posture themselves in an attractive way through body language are communicating with us on an unconscious level in the same way pack of animals communicate through visuals and posturing. 

Now, this doesn&#039;t mean that hot girl you were just checking out will be a good leader, but...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>In cave man times humans might have evolved an ability to judge to quality of a leader in part through observations of the leader’s appearance.</p></blockquote>
<p>That&#8217;s not suprising, since &#8216;beautiful&#8217; people tend to carry better genetics with the superior derived health and hormones; and people who posture themselves in an attractive way through body language are communicating with us on an unconscious level in the same way pack of animals communicate through visuals and posturing. </p>
<p>Now, this doesn&#8217;t mean that hot girl you were just checking out will be a good leader, but&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Bill</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435649</link>
		<dc:creator>Bill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Nov 2009 22:07:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435649</guid>
		<description>And that&#039;s why Obama won?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And that&#8217;s why Obama won?</p>
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		<title>By: denis bider</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435648</link>
		<dc:creator>denis bider</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Nov 2009 22:00:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435648</guid>
		<description>This is an interesting study, and your theory is plausible, but I think the degree to which &lt;em&gt;this&lt;/em&gt; study supports your theory is weak. 1-2 percentage points is not a strong effect at all. If physical attractiveness was a major factor, the effect should be an order of magnitude stronger.

Since the effect of beauty was higher where there were more apathetic voters, this suggests that there are &lt;em&gt;some&lt;/em&gt; people who end up deciding based on physical attractiveness because they just can&#039;t seem to find any other difference about which to care.

Most people, however, still vote based on other grounds. Which doesn&#039;t mean that &lt;em&gt;those&lt;/em&gt; grounds have to do with policy - but they aren&#039;t related to physical beauty, either.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is an interesting study, and your theory is plausible, but I think the degree to which <em>this</em> study supports your theory is weak. 1-2 percentage points is not a strong effect at all. If physical attractiveness was a major factor, the effect should be an order of magnitude stronger.</p>
<p>Since the effect of beauty was higher where there were more apathetic voters, this suggests that there are <em>some</em> people who end up deciding based on physical attractiveness because they just can&#8217;t seem to find any other difference about which to care.</p>
<p>Most people, however, still vote based on other grounds. Which doesn&#8217;t mean that <em>those</em> grounds have to do with policy &#8211; but they aren&#8217;t related to physical beauty, either.</p>
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		<title>By: Ryan Langrill</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/pretty-pols-win.html#comment-435645</link>
		<dc:creator>Ryan Langrill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Nov 2009 19:30:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20321#comment-435645</guid>
		<description>It makes sense that one would see these results in Australia. As the authors mention, voting is compulsory, therefore there is a higher level of apathetic voting. In this instance, I don&#039;t see it as too surprising - in fact, I&#039;m surprised the result isn&#039;t more pronounced, assuming that Australia has indifference levels similar to America. I personally know a good number of people who, if forced to vote, would probably just vote for the most attractive candidate. I hope the percentage difference is lower in America...

Very interesting.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It makes sense that one would see these results in Australia. As the authors mention, voting is compulsory, therefore there is a higher level of apathetic voting. In this instance, I don&#8217;t see it as too surprising &#8211; in fact, I&#8217;m surprised the result isn&#8217;t more pronounced, assuming that Australia has indifference levels similar to America. I personally know a good number of people who, if forced to vote, would probably just vote for the most attractive candidate. I hope the percentage difference is lower in America&#8230;</p>
<p>Very interesting.</p>
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