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	<title>Comments on: The Right Questions</title>
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	<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html</link>
	<description>Overcoming Bias is economist Robin Hanson’s blog, on honesty, signaling, disagreement, forecasting, and the far future.</description>
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		<title>By: Barkley Rosser</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435312</link>
		<dc:creator>Barkley Rosser</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 21:12:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20160#comment-435312</guid>
		<description>There is a rather curious assumption in this entire discussion, including Nye and Wilkinson&#039;s remarks: that economic inequality is decreasing.  In the US, real income and wealth inequality have been increasing since the 1970s.  Nye makes important arguments, and, yes, status seeking has been argued by a number of people to possibly stimulate real economic growth, but this is not all being driven by some non-existent increase in equality.  Get real, folk.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is a rather curious assumption in this entire discussion, including Nye and Wilkinson&#8217;s remarks: that economic inequality is decreasing.  In the US, real income and wealth inequality have been increasing since the 1970s.  Nye makes important arguments, and, yes, status seeking has been argued by a number of people to possibly stimulate real economic growth, but this is not all being driven by some non-existent increase in equality.  Get real, folk.</p>
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		<title>By: Jonas</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435208</link>
		<dc:creator>Jonas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 15:04:18 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I understand Mr. Nye`s and Mr. Frank`s story to be opposite sides of the same coin.

On one hand, status games create counterproductive and absurd behavior (resulting in emotional harm). Erich Fromm deconstucts this phenomon very nicely (&quot;Psychoanalyse &amp; Ethik&quot; 1946):

&quot;Der Mensch, der von [...] Neid [...] oder anderen Formen der Gier getrieben wird, handelt unter Zwang. Sein Handeln ist weder frei noch vernünftig [...} sein Verhalten wird mehr und mehr starr und stereotyp. Er ist zwar aktiv, aber doch nicht produktiv.&quot;

At the same time, this status seeking is essential for growth and the raising of standards.

A new innovative product enters the market, resulting in a high status for those who have it. Mass production eventually picks it up, the good becomes cheaper and more available and the signaling effect decreases. This leads to a vacuum in the status game, creating demands for better and more advanced products to fill that gap. This quasi endless cycle of status seeking creates a lot of our economic growth. Emotional harm is a byproduct and influencal variable in this mechanism.

I am not sure if the problem is solved by the avoidance of games that promote extreme status highs and lows.

In competitive settings, someone always looses. If our emphasis is on being better than everyone else, then it does not matter how equal status is distributed. The availability of a small but significant difference in potential status might have the same negative effects.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I understand Mr. Nye`s and Mr. Frank`s story to be opposite sides of the same coin.</p>
<p>On one hand, status games create counterproductive and absurd behavior (resulting in emotional harm). Erich Fromm deconstucts this phenomon very nicely (&#8220;Psychoanalyse &amp; Ethik&#8221; 1946):</p>
<p>&#8220;Der Mensch, der von [...] Neid [...] oder anderen Formen der Gier getrieben wird, handelt unter Zwang. Sein Handeln ist weder frei noch vernünftig [&#8230;} sein Verhalten wird mehr und mehr starr und stereotyp. Er ist zwar aktiv, aber doch nicht produktiv.&#8221;</p>
<p>At the same time, this status seeking is essential for growth and the raising of standards.</p>
<p>A new innovative product enters the market, resulting in a high status for those who have it. Mass production eventually picks it up, the good becomes cheaper and more available and the signaling effect decreases. This leads to a vacuum in the status game, creating demands for better and more advanced products to fill that gap. This quasi endless cycle of status seeking creates a lot of our economic growth. Emotional harm is a byproduct and influencal variable in this mechanism.</p>
<p>I am not sure if the problem is solved by the avoidance of games that promote extreme status highs and lows.</p>
<p>In competitive settings, someone always looses. If our emphasis is on being better than everyone else, then it does not matter how equal status is distributed. The availability of a small but significant difference in potential status might have the same negative effects.</p>
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		<title>By: anony</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435171</link>
		<dc:creator>anony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 18:01:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>That the feeling of job insecurity is not tied to income can be seen by the number of people earning half a million dollars or more who felt insecure when they lost or almost their jobs in last year&#039;s crash.  It is obvious that all of them could have lived frugally and saved enough money for 5 or 6 years that they could easily live forever off the interest from their savings if they moved to rural Kansas but would never in a million years consider doing so.

In contrast, a tenured public school teacher in flyoever America who earns only $65,000 a year can feel very comfortable if she lives modestly.  Moreso than a well-paid salesman in Manhattan or LA.  But a focus on gross inequalities in wealth will not address these differences and it is misleading to talk about job security as if it&#039;s simply a matter of rich vs. poor.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That the feeling of job insecurity is not tied to income can be seen by the number of people earning half a million dollars or more who felt insecure when they lost or almost their jobs in last year&#8217;s crash.  It is obvious that all of them could have lived frugally and saved enough money for 5 or 6 years that they could easily live forever off the interest from their savings if they moved to rural Kansas but would never in a million years consider doing so.</p>
<p>In contrast, a tenured public school teacher in flyoever America who earns only $65,000 a year can feel very comfortable if she lives modestly.  Moreso than a well-paid salesman in Manhattan or LA.  But a focus on gross inequalities in wealth will not address these differences and it is misleading to talk about job security as if it&#8217;s simply a matter of rich vs. poor.</p>
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		<title>By: anon</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435167</link>
		<dc:creator>anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 16:15:58 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Yes.  More importantly, it is also much easier to live well below one&#039;s means by compromising on positional goods.  This makes it feasible to acquire a large amount of precautionary savings and considerably increase one&#039;s freedom and security.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes.  More importantly, it is also much easier to live well below one&#8217;s means by compromising on positional goods.  This makes it feasible to acquire a large amount of precautionary savings and considerably increase one&#8217;s freedom and security.</p>
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		<title>By: cournot</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435162</link>
		<dc:creator>cournot</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 12:52:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20160#comment-435162</guid>
		<description>Err is making a mistake saying that no amount of inexpensive goods can affect that security.  But since food, clothing, and even electronics are part of what Nye means by reproducible goods, it DOES affect one&#039;s security.  Consider what losing a job means if food and clothing are costly vs. losing a job if food and clothing are almost free.

In  today&#039;s world, it is much, much easier for a lower middle class person to save enough to afford a minimally liveable lifestyle than for someone two hundred years ago.

The reason for the insecurity is that there are shifts in valuation of the &quot;relative&quot; minimal lifestyle.  But that is partly positional.  In absolute terms, someone living off welfare is much more likely to survive than a carpenter in 19th century England.  Thus if we assume that technology makes cheap clothing (the Walmart effect) and food even cheaper relative to incomes in the future, then the security of the poor will be greater still.

However, you&#039;ll still feel insecure, because in the world where everyone is thrice as rich, you might feel unhappy to go without a car, not be able to choose which city to live in, and not be able to command the respect of people around you.  That is EXACTLY Nye&#039;s point.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Err is making a mistake saying that no amount of inexpensive goods can affect that security.  But since food, clothing, and even electronics are part of what Nye means by reproducible goods, it DOES affect one&#8217;s security.  Consider what losing a job means if food and clothing are costly vs. losing a job if food and clothing are almost free.</p>
<p>In  today&#8217;s world, it is much, much easier for a lower middle class person to save enough to afford a minimally liveable lifestyle than for someone two hundred years ago.</p>
<p>The reason for the insecurity is that there are shifts in valuation of the &#8220;relative&#8221; minimal lifestyle.  But that is partly positional.  In absolute terms, someone living off welfare is much more likely to survive than a carpenter in 19th century England.  Thus if we assume that technology makes cheap clothing (the Walmart effect) and food even cheaper relative to incomes in the future, then the security of the poor will be greater still.</p>
<p>However, you&#8217;ll still feel insecure, because in the world where everyone is thrice as rich, you might feel unhappy to go without a car, not be able to choose which city to live in, and not be able to command the respect of people around you.  That is EXACTLY Nye&#8217;s point.</p>
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		<title>By: anon</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435136</link>
		<dc:creator>anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 00:00:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I think the most pressing issue is not that B might feel envious about A&#039;s conspicuous consumption - after all, B&#039;s envy is motivated by status-seeking as much as A&#039;s consumption is.

The real issue is that the benefits of prestige and status are a socially-created good; hence A should compensate society--as far as practicable--for providing these benefits.  Obviously, different &quot;status games&quot; do this to different degrees, and we should aim to encourage the most beneficial activities.  It&#039;s not clear that this can be done, but the potential gains are large enough for the effort to be justified.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the most pressing issue is not that B might feel envious about A&#8217;s conspicuous consumption &#8211; after all, B&#8217;s envy is motivated by status-seeking as much as A&#8217;s consumption is.</p>
<p>The real issue is that the benefits of prestige and status are a socially-created good; hence A should compensate society&#8211;as far as practicable&#8211;for providing these benefits.  Obviously, different &#8220;status games&#8221; do this to different degrees, and we should aim to encourage the most beneficial activities.  It&#8217;s not clear that this can be done, but the potential gains are large enough for the effort to be justified.</p>
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		<title>By: Jess Riedel</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435134</link>
		<dc:creator>Jess Riedel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Oct 2009 22:09:50 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I strongly agree that zero-sum status arms races can hardly be viewed as beneficial &quot;engines of growth&quot;.  They just look destructive.  

It seems much more sensible to answer Robert Frank&#039;s argument by questioning the idea that we treat the &quot;harm&quot; caused by these races in the same way we treat normal harm.  That is, the &quot;harm&quot; caused by A buying a BMW and thereby making B feel bad about his Honda is certainly of a different moral class than if A pollutes and decreases B&#039;s air quality.

This gets to the general idea that we shouldn&#039;t treat all preferences as equal under the law, especially mutable ones.  We wouldn&#039;t forcibly move a small racial minority because they cause severe discomfort to a large racist majority, for the simple reason that the racists preferences of the majority are not ones we should value.  Likewise, I think it can be reasonably argued that B&#039;s discomfort--which essentially boils down to &lt;em&gt;envy&lt;/em&gt;--shouldn&#039;t be valued.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I strongly agree that zero-sum status arms races can hardly be viewed as beneficial &#8220;engines of growth&#8221;.  They just look destructive.  </p>
<p>It seems much more sensible to answer Robert Frank&#8217;s argument by questioning the idea that we treat the &#8220;harm&#8221; caused by these races in the same way we treat normal harm.  That is, the &#8220;harm&#8221; caused by A buying a BMW and thereby making B feel bad about his Honda is certainly of a different moral class than if A pollutes and decreases B&#8217;s air quality.</p>
<p>This gets to the general idea that we shouldn&#8217;t treat all preferences as equal under the law, especially mutable ones.  We wouldn&#8217;t forcibly move a small racial minority because they cause severe discomfort to a large racist majority, for the simple reason that the racists preferences of the majority are not ones we should value.  Likewise, I think it can be reasonably argued that B&#8217;s discomfort&#8211;which essentially boils down to <em>envy</em>&#8211;shouldn&#8217;t be valued.</p>
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		<title>By: anon</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435100</link>
		<dc:creator>anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 18:14:33 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>No, business is actually a fairly prestigious activity.  Businesspeople tend to be loathed when they&#039;re suspected of engaging in political/regulatory collusion or other kinds of rent seeking behavior, which seems broadly appropriate to me.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No, business is actually a fairly prestigious activity.  Businesspeople tend to be loathed when they&#8217;re suspected of engaging in political/regulatory collusion or other kinds of rent seeking behavior, which seems broadly appropriate to me.</p>
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		<title>By: Curt Adams</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435099</link>
		<dc:creator>Curt Adams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 17:13:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.overcomingbias.com/?p=20160#comment-435099</guid>
		<description>Happiness is largely constant over the long-term (the &quot;happiness thermostat&quot;) so I would expect fear to be similar. My husband, in spite of a pretty safe, comfortable, middle-class life in a safe neighborhood, manages to terrorize himself over break-ins, vandalism, crazed killers, and a variety of other pretty unlikely or relatively petty issues. I don&#039;t think negative emotions are as tightly set as positive ones as grim circumstances seem to put people in constant states of dread or worry which don&#039;t have counterparts in endless delerious joy; but over the range of circumstances people in modern societies experience I think fear is probably relatively constant.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Happiness is largely constant over the long-term (the &#8220;happiness thermostat&#8221;) so I would expect fear to be similar. My husband, in spite of a pretty safe, comfortable, middle-class life in a safe neighborhood, manages to terrorize himself over break-ins, vandalism, crazed killers, and a variety of other pretty unlikely or relatively petty issues. I don&#8217;t think negative emotions are as tightly set as positive ones as grim circumstances seem to put people in constant states of dread or worry which don&#8217;t have counterparts in endless delerious joy; but over the range of circumstances people in modern societies experience I think fear is probably relatively constant.</p>
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		<title>By: jim</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/the-right-questions.html#comment-435097</link>
		<dc:creator>jim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 16:37:43 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>good point.  I THINK i would fear less if i was wealthy but maybe i do just have a fixed amount of fear that i allocate.  If my goal is to reduce my fears maybe i can work on them directly rather than get wealthy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>good point.  I THINK i would fear less if i was wealthy but maybe i do just have a fixed amount of fear that i allocate.  If my goal is to reduce my fears maybe i can work on them directly rather than get wealthy.</p>
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