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	<title>Comments on: Against Propaganda</title>
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	<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html</link>
	<description>Overcoming Bias is economist Robin Hanson’s blog, on honesty, signaling, disagreement, forecasting, and the far future.</description>
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		<title>By: Phil Goetz</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387392</link>
		<dc:creator>Phil Goetz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 22:14:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387392</guid>
		<description>Douglas - I think it was in Wired magazine a few years ago.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Douglas &#8211; I think it was in Wired magazine a few years ago.</p>
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		<title>By: Alexis Gallagher</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387391</link>
		<dc:creator>Alexis Gallagher</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 10:44:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387391</guid>
		<description>@Robin, Eliezer:

I am enjoying this exchange. It recaps debates I&#039;m always having with myself as a writer.

I think both of you would enjoy the book &quot;Clear and Simple as the Truth&quot;, by Francis-Noel Thomas and Mark Turner. It is one of the best books I&#039;ve read on writing. It is about standard English prose style. However, unlike most writing manuals, which just vaguely exhort you to be clear, Clear and Simple observes that standard style is a style of &quot;disguised assertion&quot; and that the appearance of clarity is always kind of illusion. It discusses the history of this style its unspoken assumptions about the structure of the subject mater and the nature of argument, the settings in which it is appropriate, etc.

It is also a short book. To me at least, this signals quality -- I suppose because it shows someone is not trying to signal quality by writing an unnecessarily long book!
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Robin, Eliezer:</p>
<p>I am enjoying this exchange. It recaps debates I&#8217;m always having with myself as a writer.</p>
<p>I think both of you would enjoy the book &#8220;Clear and Simple as the Truth&#8221;, by Francis-Noel Thomas and Mark Turner. It is one of the best books I&#8217;ve read on writing. It is about standard English prose style. However, unlike most writing manuals, which just vaguely exhort you to be clear, Clear and Simple observes that standard style is a style of &#8220;disguised assertion&#8221; and that the appearance of clarity is always kind of illusion. It discusses the history of this style its unspoken assumptions about the structure of the subject mater and the nature of argument, the settings in which it is appropriate, etc.</p>
<p>It is also a short book. To me at least, this signals quality &#8212; I suppose because it shows someone is not trying to signal quality by writing an unnecessarily long book!</p>
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		<title>By: Douglas Knight</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387390</link>
		<dc:creator>Douglas Knight</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 04:19:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387390</guid>
		<description>Phil Goetz,
could you link to (or otherwise cite) that interview?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Phil Goetz,<br />
could you link to (or otherwise cite) that interview?</p>
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		<title>By: Phil Goetz</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387389</link>
		<dc:creator>Phil Goetz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 20:34:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387389</guid>
		<description>I read an interview with a teenager who made about a million dollars by buying lousy penny stocks, and then sending out spam emails saying something like

BUY FOOBAR STOCK NOW!!!  INCREDIBLE VALUE!!!  GOING UP UP UP!!!

He experimented with it a lot, and said that though he
initially thought that using grammar and punctuation
would be more persuasive, he got better results using all caps.

This indicates that most people don&#039;t divide domains into
emotional ones in which persuasion is appropriate, and
informational ones in which reason is appropriate.
Rather, those domains Robin singles out as &quot;persuasion&quot;
domains are simply those domains in which more people operate,
and so they are tailored to a style that is persuasive to
most people - a style Robin calls propaganda.


P.S.

Eliezer wrote: &quot;The idea that our actual, evolutionary motives are lurking in our subconscious and actively steering things is not conventional evolutionary psychology.&quot;

AFAIK, this is not just conventional evolutionary psychology; it is the whole of conventional evolutionary psychology,
and of psychology in general.  Psychology usually
proceeds as if there were no such thing as consciousness.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I read an interview with a teenager who made about a million dollars by buying lousy penny stocks, and then sending out spam emails saying something like</p>
<p>BUY FOOBAR STOCK NOW!!!  INCREDIBLE VALUE!!!  GOING UP UP UP!!!</p>
<p>He experimented with it a lot, and said that though he<br />
initially thought that using grammar and punctuation<br />
would be more persuasive, he got better results using all caps.</p>
<p>This indicates that most people don&#8217;t divide domains into<br />
emotional ones in which persuasion is appropriate, and<br />
informational ones in which reason is appropriate.<br />
Rather, those domains Robin singles out as &#8220;persuasion&#8221;<br />
domains are simply those domains in which more people operate,<br />
and so they are tailored to a style that is persuasive to<br />
most people &#8211; a style Robin calls propaganda.</p>
<p>P.S.</p>
<p>Eliezer wrote: &#8220;The idea that our actual, evolutionary motives are lurking in our subconscious and actively steering things is not conventional evolutionary psychology.&#8221;</p>
<p>AFAIK, this is not just conventional evolutionary psychology; it is the whole of conventional evolutionary psychology,<br />
and of psychology in general.  Psychology usually<br />
proceeds as if there were no such thing as consciousness.</p>
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		<title>By: Robin Hanson</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387388</link>
		<dc:creator>Robin Hanson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 19:28:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387388</guid>
		<description>Eliezer, surely how friendly I act toward anyone one person at any one time is the result of &lt;i&gt;far&lt;/i&gt; more than just some stable &quot;is he my friend?&quot; label stored somewhere in my brain.  And surely whatever are the relevant internal states, many of the processes that change those states are influenced by indicators of how much it is in my genetic interest to act friendly to this sort of person in these sort of situations.  If you agree with these claims, I don&#039;t see what you think you disagree with me about.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Eliezer, surely how friendly I act toward anyone one person at any one time is the result of <i>far</i> more than just some stable &#8220;is he my friend?&#8221; label stored somewhere in my brain.  And surely whatever are the relevant internal states, many of the processes that change those states are influenced by indicators of how much it is in my genetic interest to act friendly to this sort of person in these sort of situations.  If you agree with these claims, I don&#8217;t see what you think you disagree with me about.</p>
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		<title>By: Eliezer Yudkowsky</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387387</link>
		<dc:creator>Eliezer Yudkowsky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 13:20:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387387</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m expanding my comment into a post.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m expanding my comment into a post.</p>
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		<title>By: Eliezer Yudkowsky</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387386</link>
		<dc:creator>Eliezer Yudkowsky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 12:39:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387386</guid>
		<description>Robin, my understanding of the &lt;i&gt;conventional view&lt;/i&gt; in evolutionary psychology is that we have evolved to signal certain attributes by actually &lt;i&gt;having&lt;/i&gt; them - for example, to signal strong friendship by actually being strong friends with someone.  The idea that our actual, evolutionary motives are lurking in our subconscious and actively steering things is &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; conventional evolutionary psychology.

The idea that our strong friendship might, for some odd reason, start to fade when our friend can no longer be of service to us, would be more conventional evolutionary psychology - but that&#039;s a new hidden circuit activating that the thinker doesn&#039;t know about; it&#039;s not a subconscious motivation that was at work all along.

Yes, we&#039;ve evolved a general faculty to (a) in general, be influenced by &#039;unvirtuous&#039; desires such as desire for high status; and (b) in general, put the best possible rosy cast on our actions.  But to suppose that &lt;i&gt;every trace&lt;/i&gt; of virtue is just status-seeking by trying to appear virtuous, is simply too cynical; it does not seem psychologically realistic.

I note that the rules may be different in economics than in evolutionary psychology.  I can see why, in economics, you would try to put the burden of proof on someone claiming that a behavior is genuinely noble.  But in evolutionary psychology, the burden of proof is on whoever claims the more complex adaptation.  If there&#039;s a selection pressure to signal quality X, then one simple adaptation that does the trick will be to actually &lt;i&gt;have&lt;/i&gt; quality X.  If this seems on its face to be psychologically realistic for humans, then the default is to say, &quot;This would seem to explain why we have quality X!&quot;, and maybe try to invent an experimental demonstration by reasoning about the ancestral conditions that should activate or maintain quality X.  A more complicated &lt;i&gt;conscious-plus-subconscious&lt;/i&gt; hypothesis that enabled even &lt;i&gt;more&lt;/i&gt; sophisticated behavior, would bear the burden of further demonstration in a way that distinguished it from the simpler hypothesis.  It would also prompt the question of why attention to the signal hadn&#039;t faded over evolutionary time.

Economic actors routinely invent quite complicated and intelligent plans on the spur of the moment; evolution tends to be &lt;i&gt;relatively&lt;/i&gt; more parsimonious.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Robin, my understanding of the <i>conventional view</i> in evolutionary psychology is that we have evolved to signal certain attributes by actually <i>having</i> them &#8211; for example, to signal strong friendship by actually being strong friends with someone.  The idea that our actual, evolutionary motives are lurking in our subconscious and actively steering things is <i>not</i> conventional evolutionary psychology.</p>
<p>The idea that our strong friendship might, for some odd reason, start to fade when our friend can no longer be of service to us, would be more conventional evolutionary psychology &#8211; but that&#8217;s a new hidden circuit activating that the thinker doesn&#8217;t know about; it&#8217;s not a subconscious motivation that was at work all along.</p>
<p>Yes, we&#8217;ve evolved a general faculty to (a) in general, be influenced by &#8216;unvirtuous&#8217; desires such as desire for high status; and (b) in general, put the best possible rosy cast on our actions.  But to suppose that <i>every trace</i> of virtue is just status-seeking by trying to appear virtuous, is simply too cynical; it does not seem psychologically realistic.</p>
<p>I note that the rules may be different in economics than in evolutionary psychology.  I can see why, in economics, you would try to put the burden of proof on someone claiming that a behavior is genuinely noble.  But in evolutionary psychology, the burden of proof is on whoever claims the more complex adaptation.  If there&#8217;s a selection pressure to signal quality X, then one simple adaptation that does the trick will be to actually <i>have</i> quality X.  If this seems on its face to be psychologically realistic for humans, then the default is to say, &#8220;This would seem to explain why we have quality X!&#8221;, and maybe try to invent an experimental demonstration by reasoning about the ancestral conditions that should activate or maintain quality X.  A more complicated <i>conscious-plus-subconscious</i> hypothesis that enabled even <i>more</i> sophisticated behavior, would bear the burden of further demonstration in a way that distinguished it from the simpler hypothesis.  It would also prompt the question of why attention to the signal hadn&#8217;t faded over evolutionary time.</p>
<p>Economic actors routinely invent quite complicated and intelligent plans on the spur of the moment; evolution tends to be <i>relatively</i> more parsimonious.</p>
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		<title>By: Katja Grace</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387385</link>
		<dc:creator>Katja Grace</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 05:45:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387385</guid>
		<description>Robin, informative authors at the very least want audience to conclude the info they are giving is true. How does whether they can guess audience members&#039; next steps of inference from it change the analysis?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Robin, informative authors at the very least want audience to conclude the info they are giving is true. How does whether they can guess audience members&#8217; next steps of inference from it change the analysis?</p>
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		<title>By: Anna Salamon</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387384</link>
		<dc:creator>Anna Salamon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 02:37:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387384</guid>
		<description>Robin, yes of course it is wise not to insult high-status audiences.  That wasn&#039;t my point; I was wondering if we should be paying attention to readers&#039; signaling about themselves, and to authors&#039; signaling about their beliefs about their readers, as we try to understand writing conventions.  In particular, I was wondering if the desire to signal OB readers&#039; (intelligence/seriousness/analytic skill/peerhood) is playing some role in the dislike of Eliezer&#039;s fiction.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Robin, yes of course it is wise not to insult high-status audiences.  That wasn&#8217;t my point; I was wondering if we should be paying attention to readers&#8217; signaling about themselves, and to authors&#8217; signaling about their beliefs about their readers, as we try to understand writing conventions.  In particular, I was wondering if the desire to signal OB readers&#8217; (intelligence/seriousness/analytic skill/peerhood) is playing some role in the dislike of Eliezer&#8217;s fiction.</p>
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		<title>By: Robin Hanson</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387383</link>
		<dc:creator>Robin Hanson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 02:17:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/02/against-propaganda.html#comment-387383</guid>
		<description>Eliezer, humans evolved tendencies to take the actions that signal high status and when possible to consciously believe that such actions were done for some other more noble purposes.

Anna, yes one is wise not to insult high status audiences.

Katja, informative authors often have little idea what conclusions readers will draw from info provided.

Douglas, my topic is not what I can infer about Eliezer from his total corpus of writings.

All, I&#039;d think it more important to understand typical author and reader behavior than to focus so on a few outliers like  Smullyan or Feynman.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Eliezer, humans evolved tendencies to take the actions that signal high status and when possible to consciously believe that such actions were done for some other more noble purposes.</p>
<p>Anna, yes one is wise not to insult high status audiences.</p>
<p>Katja, informative authors often have little idea what conclusions readers will draw from info provided.</p>
<p>Douglas, my topic is not what I can infer about Eliezer from his total corpus of writings.</p>
<p>All, I&#8217;d think it more important to understand typical author and reader behavior than to focus so on a few outliers like  Smullyan or Feynman.</p>
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