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	<title>Comments on: Why We Like Middle Options, Small Menus</title>
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	<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html</link>
	<description>Overcoming Bias is economist Robin Hanson’s blog, on honesty, signaling, disagreement, forecasting, and the far future.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 12 Feb 2012 04:20:14 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Fun with Scenario Planning &#171; Contrarian Moderate</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-632392</link>
		<dc:creator>Fun with Scenario Planning &#171; Contrarian Moderate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Dec 2011 18:41:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-632392</guid>
		<description>[...] in which employment grows at 472,000 jobs per month, as it did in the best month in the 200s; and a middle option, in which employment grows at 321,000 jobs, as it did in 1994.  The takeaway from the graph, [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] in which employment grows at 472,000 jobs per month, as it did in the best month in the 200s; and a middle option, in which employment grows at 321,000 jobs, as it did in 1994.  The takeaway from the graph, [...]</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: The Power Of The Middle Option &#171; Iterative Path</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-434359</link>
		<dc:creator>The Power Of The Middle Option &#171; Iterative Path</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 13:38:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-434359</guid>
		<description>[...] Obama&#8217;s campaign or administration. One of the concepts of behavioral economics is the power of the middle option &#8211; given three options at three different price points most people aggregate towards the [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Obama&#8217;s campaign or administration. One of the concepts of behavioral economics is the power of the middle option &#8211; given three options at three different price points most people aggregate towards the [...]</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: frelkins</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388912</link>
		<dc:creator>frelkins</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jan 2009 15:50:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388912</guid>
		<description>@floccina

&quot;&lt;em&gt;Is that why women from urban areas marry less than women from rural areas? &lt;/em&gt;&quot;

I wonder if the &quot;folk wisdom&quot; about major metropolitan areas is true - that it&#039;s harder for women to date and thus marry due to the fact that such areas attract a large number of gay men, skewing the ratios.

In Manhattan only 37% of women ever marry, compared with 61% across the USA. Since gay women are estimated to make up only 4-6% (this may be an undercount) of New York&#039;s female population, that can&#039;t account for the difference.

However, it&#039;s important to note that these effects can vary by nabe. Downtown, near the FiDi, men outnumbered women in a ratio of 126 to 100 in 2007, as male brokers &amp; traders clustered in TriBeCa, sharing apartments to be near work.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@floccina</p>
<p>&#8220;<em>Is that why women from urban areas marry less than women from rural areas? </em>&#8221;</p>
<p>I wonder if the &#8220;folk wisdom&#8221; about major metropolitan areas is true &#8211; that it&#8217;s harder for women to date and thus marry due to the fact that such areas attract a large number of gay men, skewing the ratios.</p>
<p>In Manhattan only 37% of women ever marry, compared with 61% across the USA. Since gay women are estimated to make up only 4-6% (this may be an undercount) of New York&#8217;s female population, that can&#8217;t account for the difference.</p>
<p>However, it&#8217;s important to note that these effects can vary by nabe. Downtown, near the FiDi, men outnumbered women in a ratio of 126 to 100 in 2007, as male brokers &#038; traders clustered in TriBeCa, sharing apartments to be near work.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: floccina</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388911</link>
		<dc:creator>floccina</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jan 2009 15:11:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388911</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;Finally, male selectivity is invariant to group size, while female selectivity is strongly increasing in group size.&lt;/em&gt;

Is that why women from urban areas marry less than women from rural areas?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Finally, male selectivity is invariant to group size, while female selectivity is strongly increasing in group size.</em></p>
<p>Is that why women from urban areas marry less than women from rural areas?</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Laura</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388910</link>
		<dc:creator>Laura</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Jan 2009 08:56:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388910</guid>
		<description>An uninformed consumer can be better off with a smaller choice set. The logic behind this possibility is as follows. A consumer who does not know which variety she likes must choose randomly among the available varieties. In equilibrium, the most popular varieties are introduced, so the average popularity of the available varieties is decreasing in the breadth of the product line. Consequently, the uninformed consumer&#039;s expected surplus is greater when there are fewer options.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An uninformed consumer can be better off with a smaller choice set. The logic behind this possibility is as follows. A consumer who does not know which variety she likes must choose randomly among the available varieties. In equilibrium, the most popular varieties are introduced, so the average popularity of the available varieties is decreasing in the breadth of the product line. Consequently, the uninformed consumer&#8217;s expected surplus is greater when there are fewer options.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: frelkins</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388909</link>
		<dc:creator>frelkins</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Jan 2009 00:09:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2009/01/why-we-like-middle-options-small-menus.html#comment-388909</guid>
		<description>@Robin

You may recall we talked about this guy&#039;s speed dating paper &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/11/open-thread.html#comment-137447673&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;in the Nov. 08 open thread&lt;/a&gt;.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Robin</p>
<p>You may recall we talked about this guy&#8217;s speed dating paper <a href="http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/11/open-thread.html#comment-137447673" rel="nofollow">in the Nov. 08 open thread</a>.</p>
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