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	<title>Comments on: Schwitzgebel Thoughts</title>
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	<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html</link>
	<description>Overcoming Bias is economist Robin Hanson’s blog, on honesty, signaling, disagreement, forecasting, and the far future.</description>
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		<title>By: Caledonian</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405374</link>
		<dc:creator>Caledonian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Apr 2008 14:07:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405374</guid>
		<description>We are not grateful for the &lt;i&gt;Principia Mathematica&lt;/i&gt;, we are grateful for the ideas about calculus contained therein.

What ideas are contained within &#039;Reason and Persons&#039; that I should care about and that cannot be found elsewhere?


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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We are not grateful for the <i>Principia Mathematica</i>, we are grateful for the ideas about calculus contained therein.</p>
<p>What ideas are contained within &#8216;Reason and Persons&#8217; that I should care about and that cannot be found elsewhere?</p>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405373</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Apr 2008 03:37:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405373</guid>
		<description>Me: &quot;&lt;i&gt;It certainly appears from your above comment that you&#039;re not actually familiar with the work of professional philosophers. Ever heard of Parfit&#039;s &#039;Reasons and Persons&#039;?&lt;/i&gt;&quot;

Caledonian: &quot;&lt;i&gt;People keep saying that I don&#039;t appreciate what they do, but they never offer an example of something I should be appreciative of.&lt;/i&gt;&quot;

I retract my recommendation; books are only helpful to those who can read.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Me: &#8220;<i>It certainly appears from your above comment that you&#8217;re not actually familiar with the work of professional philosophers. Ever heard of Parfit&#8217;s &#8216;Reasons and Persons&#8217;?</i>&#8221;</p>
<p>Caledonian: &#8220;<i>People keep saying that I don&#8217;t appreciate what they do, but they never offer an example of something I should be appreciative of.</i>&#8221;</p>
<p>I retract my recommendation; books are only helpful to those who can read.</p>
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		<title>By: Brandon Reinhart</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405372</link>
		<dc:creator>Brandon Reinhart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2008 22:47:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405372</guid>
		<description>&quot;Assuming that dreams themselves have not changed over this time period, it appears that one or the other (or both) groups of students must be profoundly mistaken about a basic feature of their dream experiences.&quot;

That assumption might be flawed. There wasn&#039;t any color TV in the 40s and it wasn&#039;t common in the 50s. Perhaps exposure to color TV changed the way people considered their dreams or actually dreamed. In which case maybe the contents of their dreams did change over that period of time.

I mention this because a few people I know say their dreams are more &quot;vivid&quot; and their appreciation for visual detail more refined after getting HD TVs. Could be the brain improving its ability to filter certain types of signals.

/random_speculation_off
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Assuming that dreams themselves have not changed over this time period, it appears that one or the other (or both) groups of students must be profoundly mistaken about a basic feature of their dream experiences.&#8221;</p>
<p>That assumption might be flawed. There wasn&#8217;t any color TV in the 40s and it wasn&#8217;t common in the 50s. Perhaps exposure to color TV changed the way people considered their dreams or actually dreamed. In which case maybe the contents of their dreams did change over that period of time.</p>
<p>I mention this because a few people I know say their dreams are more &#8220;vivid&#8221; and their appreciation for visual detail more refined after getting HD TVs. Could be the brain improving its ability to filter certain types of signals.</p>
<p>/random_speculation_off</p>
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		<title>By: Caledonian</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405371</link>
		<dc:creator>Caledonian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2008 22:13:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405371</guid>
		<description>That would be a biting criticism, HA, if you actually presented some accomplishments of academic philosophy.

People keep saying that I don&#039;t appreciate what they do, but they never offer an example of something I should be appreciative of.  It sounds an awful like I&#039;m not actually familiar with the elegant design and esoteric materials used to make the Emperor&#039;s flashy new wardrobe.

Because what I actually see, when I read philosophers&#039; books and read people claiming philosophical expertise, is that they&#039;re dressing up nonsense with a new hat.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That would be a biting criticism, HA, if you actually presented some accomplishments of academic philosophy.</p>
<p>People keep saying that I don&#8217;t appreciate what they do, but they never offer an example of something I should be appreciative of.  It sounds an awful like I&#8217;m not actually familiar with the elegant design and esoteric materials used to make the Emperor&#8217;s flashy new wardrobe.</p>
<p>Because what I actually see, when I read philosophers&#8217; books and read people claiming philosophical expertise, is that they&#8217;re dressing up nonsense with a new hat.</p>
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		<title>By: Hopefully Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405370</link>
		<dc:creator>Hopefully Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2008 20:37:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405370</guid>
		<description>&quot;sociopaths have great opportunities to find new ideas&quot;. (channeling Garfield) Hey, I resemble that remark!

***

&quot;I&#039;d be better off querying those involuntarily committed to institutions - there would be a greater chance of finding sanity there.&quot; Caledonian, I think Richard had you pegged with this: &quot;It certainly appears from your above comment that you&#039;re not actually familiar with the work of professional philosophers.&quot; Perhaps we can add the work of professional legal scholars to the list?
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;sociopaths have great opportunities to find new ideas&#8221;. (channeling Garfield) Hey, I resemble that remark!</p>
<p>***</p>
<p>&#8220;I&#8217;d be better off querying those involuntarily committed to institutions &#8211; there would be a greater chance of finding sanity there.&#8221; Caledonian, I think Richard had you pegged with this: &#8220;It certainly appears from your above comment that you&#8217;re not actually familiar with the work of professional philosophers.&#8221; Perhaps we can add the work of professional legal scholars to the list?</p>
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		<title>By: Caledonian</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405369</link>
		<dc:creator>Caledonian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2008 19:44:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405369</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Also possibly add legal scholars, judges, politicians, etc. &lt;/blockquote&gt;  Why in the world would I do that?  Like the Bene Gesserit, those groups believe that the purpose of debate is to change or redefine the nature of truth.

I&#039;d be better off querying those involuntarily committed to institutions - there would be a greater chance of finding sanity there.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Also possibly add legal scholars, judges, politicians, etc. </p></blockquote>
<p>  Why in the world would I do that?  Like the Bene Gesserit, those groups believe that the purpose of debate is to change or redefine the nature of truth.</p>
<p>I&#8217;d be better off querying those involuntarily committed to institutions &#8211; there would be a greater chance of finding sanity there.</p>
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		<title>By: michael vassar</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405368</link>
		<dc:creator>michael vassar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2008 14:39:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405368</guid>
		<description>I made Zubon&#039;s point to Aubrey De Grey years ago at Transvision as a joke and discovered that it was terribly offensive.  I actually agree with Stuart.  This is like finding that evolutionary biologists know less about the origin of life because they don&#039;t even know that god was involved.  Seconding Hal, on the evidence stealing books on ethics is ethically permissible or even obligatory.  M-th only knows how overdue my copy of Reasons and Persons is.

Richard:  Good posts!  Thanks for reminding me that I wasn&#039;t an idiot to think that you were actually good at philosophical thinking!  I certainly do think that physicists seem to be better than philosophers at doing philosophy and I have a reason, namely that the relatively impartial nature of judgment in their domain both inculcates practice in intellectual honesty and better selects for talent in doing physics, which is more strongly correlated with philosophical ability than is the ability to gain recognition in academic philosophy.  I&#039;m pretty confident that academic philosophy does actually attract people with talent and inclination for doing philosophy well, but also that it selects poorly among them and that it actively teaches bad habits of thought as well as good ones so that the optimum exposure to it is only high if one gives little credence to the whole enterprise.  Economics, as a field that inculcates practice in denying credence to respectable enterprises, is thus a necessary complement for any serious student of philosophy.  Alternatively, substitute continental philosophy for economics.

Caledonian: Good response to Richard.  Maybe add game theorists to your list, though they haven&#039;t made much interesting progress lately.  Also possibly add legal scholars, judges, politicians, etc.

Robin:  I second Douglas Knight&#039;s request that we establish the existence of the effect before the sign.

All:  Let&#039;s try to distinguish between quality of ethical judgments, where I expect ethical philosophers to far exceed the general population and to modestly but impactfully exceed a socio-economically similar population a-priori, and effort exerted in conforming to some ethical standard, where I wouldn&#039;t expect that a-priori.  Ideally, lets also distinguish between effort dedicated to conforming to ethical standards that are supported by social pressure and effort dedicated to conforming to ethical standards opposed to social pressure.  Arguably, only the latter is relevant to examination of this question.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I made Zubon&#8217;s point to Aubrey De Grey years ago at Transvision as a joke and discovered that it was terribly offensive.  I actually agree with Stuart.  This is like finding that evolutionary biologists know less about the origin of life because they don&#8217;t even know that god was involved.  Seconding Hal, on the evidence stealing books on ethics is ethically permissible or even obligatory.  M-th only knows how overdue my copy of Reasons and Persons is.</p>
<p>Richard:  Good posts!  Thanks for reminding me that I wasn&#8217;t an idiot to think that you were actually good at philosophical thinking!  I certainly do think that physicists seem to be better than philosophers at doing philosophy and I have a reason, namely that the relatively impartial nature of judgment in their domain both inculcates practice in intellectual honesty and better selects for talent in doing physics, which is more strongly correlated with philosophical ability than is the ability to gain recognition in academic philosophy.  I&#8217;m pretty confident that academic philosophy does actually attract people with talent and inclination for doing philosophy well, but also that it selects poorly among them and that it actively teaches bad habits of thought as well as good ones so that the optimum exposure to it is only high if one gives little credence to the whole enterprise.  Economics, as a field that inculcates practice in denying credence to respectable enterprises, is thus a necessary complement for any serious student of philosophy.  Alternatively, substitute continental philosophy for economics.</p>
<p>Caledonian: Good response to Richard.  Maybe add game theorists to your list, though they haven&#8217;t made much interesting progress lately.  Also possibly add legal scholars, judges, politicians, etc.</p>
<p>Robin:  I second Douglas Knight&#8217;s request that we establish the existence of the effect before the sign.</p>
<p>All:  Let&#8217;s try to distinguish between quality of ethical judgments, where I expect ethical philosophers to far exceed the general population and to modestly but impactfully exceed a socio-economically similar population a-priori, and effort exerted in conforming to some ethical standard, where I wouldn&#8217;t expect that a-priori.  Ideally, lets also distinguish between effort dedicated to conforming to ethical standards that are supported by social pressure and effort dedicated to conforming to ethical standards opposed to social pressure.  Arguably, only the latter is relevant to examination of this question.</p>
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		<title>By: Toby Ord</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405367</link>
		<dc:creator>Toby Ord</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Apr 2008 10:44:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405367</guid>
		<description>Of course my anecdotal evidence shouldn&#039;t shift your belief much either. I was just offering it because I was asked for it.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Of course my anecdotal evidence shouldn&#8217;t shift your belief much either. I was just offering it because I was asked for it.</p>
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		<title>By: Toby Ord</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405366</link>
		<dc:creator>Toby Ord</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Apr 2008 10:40:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405366</guid>
		<description>To be clear, I certainly wasn&#039;t claiming that the book figures are fiddled. I am saying that out of all possible ways in which a group of people might be more or less ethical and in which this might be observed, there must be on the order of 1,000,000 which are as sensible as this one. Thus, when one of these million are found to have a controversial and fun result (people would not have been as interested had the reverse been found), and when there are myriad other reasonable hypotheses as to why the result was positive, there is perhaps enough evidence to start doing more experiments, but not enough that moral philosophers are expected to defend themselves, which is what appears to be happening here.

I could also point out the following. Why isn&#039;t the title of the paper &#039;Do Ethicists Lose More Books?&#039;. There is equal evidence for both hypotheses and presumably they are not both bizarrely correlated with being an ethicist, so there is no reason (apart from pre-existing beliefs/prejudices about ethicists) to assume the books are being stolen rather than being lost. There are many other hypotheses like these which would explain the one odd result. These studies just aren&#039;t enough to tip our pre-existing beliefs on this matter more than 1%.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To be clear, I certainly wasn&#8217;t claiming that the book figures are fiddled. I am saying that out of all possible ways in which a group of people might be more or less ethical and in which this might be observed, there must be on the order of 1,000,000 which are as sensible as this one. Thus, when one of these million are found to have a controversial and fun result (people would not have been as interested had the reverse been found), and when there are myriad other reasonable hypotheses as to why the result was positive, there is perhaps enough evidence to start doing more experiments, but not enough that moral philosophers are expected to defend themselves, which is what appears to be happening here.</p>
<p>I could also point out the following. Why isn&#8217;t the title of the paper &#8216;Do Ethicists Lose More Books?&#8217;. There is equal evidence for both hypotheses and presumably they are not both bizarrely correlated with being an ethicist, so there is no reason (apart from pre-existing beliefs/prejudices about ethicists) to assume the books are being stolen rather than being lost. There are many other hypotheses like these which would explain the one odd result. These studies just aren&#8217;t enough to tip our pre-existing beliefs on this matter more than 1%.</p>
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		<title>By: stuart</title>
		<link>http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/04/schwitzgebel-th.html#comment-405365</link>
		<dc:creator>stuart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Apr 2008 09:11:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/04/schwitzgebel-thoughts.html#comment-405365</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t think it matters whether we agree about the moral content of eating meat for the example to be relevant, just that ethicists behave systematically differently in this situation and they describe it as an ethical decision.

I don&#039;t think Robin&#039;s comment avoids the problem of dismissing evidence simply because he disagrees with them (of course I&#039;m not 100% sure that they are more likely to be vegetarian, but I&#039;m pretty confident that&#039;ll hold up).
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t think it matters whether we agree about the moral content of eating meat for the example to be relevant, just that ethicists behave systematically differently in this situation and they describe it as an ethical decision.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t think Robin&#8217;s comment avoids the problem of dismissing evidence simply because he disagrees with them (of course I&#8217;m not 100% sure that they are more likely to be vegetarian, but I&#8217;m pretty confident that&#8217;ll hold up).</p>
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