http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/02/predictocracy-v.html Overcoming Bias is economist Robin Hanson’s blog, on honesty, signaling, disagreement, forecasting, and the far future. Sat, 11 Feb 2012 23:23:58 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1.3 http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/02/predictocracy-v.html#comment-459464 Overcoming Bias : Expand Bounty Hunting Thu, 11 Nov 2010 18:08:11 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/02/predictocracy-vs-futarchy.html#comment-459464 [...] a suspect, and how to avoid double jeopardy, I’d suggest using open prediction markets, a la Michael Abramowicz. Detain a suspect when his market odds of guilt pass a threshold, and let the first firm whose [...] [...] a suspect, and how to avoid double jeopardy, I’d suggest using open prediction markets, a la Michael Abramowicz. Detain a suspect when his market odds of guilt pass a threshold, and let the first firm whose [...]

]]> http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/02/predictocracy-v.html#comment-408542 Phirand Ice Tue, 05 Feb 2008 14:37:53 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/02/predictocracy-vs-futarchy.html#comment-408542 its been very interesting - I can't wait to get the book and delve more its been very interesting – I can’t wait to get the book and delve more

]]> http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/02/predictocracy-v.html#comment-408541 Robin Hanson Mon, 04 Feb 2008 13:32:49 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/02/predictocracy-vs-futarchy.html#comment-408541 Thanks Michael for engaging me. I'm sure many readers have been shaking their heads at our obsession with what must seem to them obscure and hopelessly speculative issues. But you and I share great hopes here. :) Thanks Michael for engaging me. I’m sure many readers have been shaking their heads at our obsession with what must seem to them obscure and hopelessly speculative issues. But you and I share great hopes here.

]]> http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/02/predictocracy-v.html#comment-408540 Michael Abramowicz Mon, 04 Feb 2008 13:28:24 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/02/predictocracy-vs-futarchy.html#comment-408540 Robin, I'm happy to let you have the last word. Thanks for the opportunity to have this exchange! And I hope to post occasionally on other topics on overcomingbias in the future. Thanks too for creating such a lively, eclectic forum. Robin, I’m happy to let you have the last word. Thanks for the opportunity to have this exchange! And I hope to post occasionally on other topics on overcomingbias in the future. Thanks too for creating such a lively, eclectic forum.

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