Comments on: Deliberation in Prediction Markets http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/01/deliberation-in.html Overcoming Bias is economist Robin Hanson’s blog, on honesty, signaling, disagreement, forecasting, and the far future. Sun, 14 Mar 2010 07:33:43 -0400 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: The Volokh Conspiracy http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/01/deliberation-in.html#comment-408773 The Volokh Conspiracy Thu, 31 Jan 2008 13:51:09 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/01/deliberation-in-prediction-markets.html#comment-408773 <strong>Deliberating with Prediction Markets:</strong> Prediction markets may seem inadequately deliberative. On the election markets, for example, participants trade, but do not ordinarily explain their trades. Decision makers in deliberative bodies, in contrast, seek to persuade on... Deliberating with Prediction Markets:

Prediction markets may seem inadequately deliberative. On the election markets, for example, participants trade, but do not ordinarily explain their trades. Decision makers in deliberative bodies, in contrast, seek to persuade on…

]]> By: Robin Hanson http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/01/deliberation-in.html#comment-408772 Robin Hanson Wed, 30 Jan 2008 18:03:22 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/01/deliberation-in-prediction-markets.html#comment-408772 Jess, in using the phrase "rookie mistake" I had in mind that the mistake would not have been made had he followed the standard procedure we drill into economics grad students. So it is the sort of mistake typical of "rookie" economists. I didn't mean that to be condescending - it is relevant to the issue I raised of whether he just happens to make some mistaken claims, or whether he more systematically does not offer support that meets economist's usual standards. Jess, in using the phrase “rookie mistake” I had in mind that the mistake would not have been made had he followed the standard procedure we drill into economics grad students. So it is the sort of mistake typical of “rookie” economists. I didn’t mean that to be condescending – it is relevant to the issue I raised of whether he just happens to make some mistaken claims, or whether he more systematically does not offer support that meets economist’s usual standards.

]]> By: Jess Riedel http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/01/deliberation-in.html#comment-408771 Jess Riedel Wed, 30 Jan 2008 16:06:00 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/01/deliberation-in-prediction-markets.html#comment-408771 As a professor of law at GWU, I'm sure Michael Abramowicz eagerly accepts honest criticism of his work. Everyone in academia is an adult, and there is no need to moderate your criticism simply because it sounds harsh (or, perhaps, is damning). However, the term "rookie mistake" is condescending and unecessary. I suspect this phrase is what caused some readers to have taken exception with your tone. As a professor of law at GWU, I’m sure Michael Abramowicz eagerly accepts honest criticism of his work. Everyone in academia is an adult, and there is no need to moderate your criticism simply because it sounds harsh (or, perhaps, is damning). However, the term “rookie mistake” is condescending and unecessary. I suspect this phrase is what caused some readers to have taken exception with your tone.

]]> By: burger flipper http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/01/deliberation-in.html#comment-408770 burger flipper Wed, 30 Jan 2008 11:45:14 +0000 http://prod.ob.trike.com.au/2008/01/deliberation-in-prediction-markets.html#comment-408770 I'd hate to see the reviews of the people who didn't blurb the book. I’d hate to see the reviews of the people who didn’t blurb the book.

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